Etar vs Beroe: match statistics

Etar are 2nd in the table, while Beroe sit only 10th, and the hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, with one draw. Etar remain unbeaten at home: they have won 67% of their matches, score an average of 1.33 goals and create chances worth 2.07 xG per game. Beroe have lost both of their away matches so far, failing to score in either, and average just 1.5 shots on target from 7 attempts. The hosts also dominate possession, averaging 61% compared with the visitors’ 47%, which should translate into greater control and more chances. Although Etar allow opponents 1.43 xG at home, Beroe’s very poor away output of 0.95 xG significantly strengthens the case for a home win.

The strongest signal points to Beroe failing to score: the visitors have not yet found the net in the competition, and they failed to score in 100% of their matches. Etar defend solidly at home, conceding an average of just 0.5 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 50% of their appearances. The attacking difference is clear, as the hosts score an average of 2.0 goals from 4.0 shots on target, while Beroe manage only 1.5 shots on target and have an average xG of 0.95. Although Etar recorded BTTS - Yes in 80% of their last five matches, Beroe saw this outcome in only 20%, while their average of 0.8 goals scored during this run further limits the visitors' chances of finding the net. A result featuring one or more Etar goals and at least one team failing to score is therefore more likely.

Etar averages 2.0 goals at home, while Beroe have yet to score in away matches and have failed to find the net in 100% of such games. The hosts create significantly more danger: their average xG stands at 1.41 compared with 0.95 for their opponents, while the average number of shots on target is 4.0 to 1.5. Etar’s home defense concedes just 0.5 goals per match and keeps a clean sheet in 50% of games, significantly limiting Beroe’s scoring potential. Neither team has recorded a match with at least 4 goals so far, and both have seen 100% of their games finish under 3.5 goals, making Under 3.5 the strongest pick.

Etar have won all three of their home matches to date, scoring an average of 2.33 goals and conceding just 0.33, while Beroe have scored 0 goals away from home and lost every match. The hosts were leading at the break in 2 of their 3 home matches, averaging 1.0 goal before half-time without conceding, while Beroe have failed to score in the first half in any of their away games. Etar’s advantage should continue after the interval, as they average 1.33 goals in the second half at home, whereas the visitors still have an average of 0.0 goals scored. However, Beroe’s last five matches have been better than their away performances, with an average of 1.4 goals and three wins, making a draw at half-time followed by an Etar win at full-time a significant alternative. Nevertheless, the 1/1 scenario has the strongest foundations.