Bulgaria - Second LeagueData current as of 16 October 2026

Etar vs Fratria: match statistics

Etar crest
Etar
1 : 1half-time 1:1
Fratria crest
Fratria
130%(3.37)
X25%(3.25)
245%(2.02)

Fratria sits in 2nd place in the table and presents significantly better form than Etar (11th position). The visitors have an impressive record of 13 wins in the season with just 3 losses, while the hosts have won only 5 matches. In away games, Fratria achieves a 56% win rate and only 22% losses, evidencing the team's solidity on foreign soil. Etar wins only 25% of cases in home matches and draws as many as 50%, indicating problems translating play into victories. The difference in attacking quality is clear – Fratria has scored 35 goals in the season (averaging 1.44 per away match), while Etar has scored only 19 goals (averaging 1.63 in home matches, but with weaker efficiency). Considering all statistics, Fratria is the favorite for this meeting, although Etar may put up resistance at their own stadium, hence a moderate probability of a draw.

Etar vs Fratria: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Etar played Fratria in Second League (Bulgaria). The match was played on 17 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Etar: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Fratria: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Etar scores 1.06 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Fratria scores 1.94 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.45 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Etar 33%, Fratria 39%. Over 2.5: Etar 33%, Fratria 44%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 42%.

xG, shots and style

Fratria has higher xG: 1.63 vs 1.55. Etar: 11.6 shots per match, Fratria: 11.1.

Match halves

Etar: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.72. Fratria: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.11.

Goals by minute

Etar: 76-90+ (5 goals). Fratria: 61-75 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Second League: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 42%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Fratria sits in 2nd place in the table and presents significantly better form than Etar (11th position). The visitors have an impressive record of 13 wins in the season with just 3 losses, while the hosts have won only 5 matches. In away games, Fratria achieves a 56% win rate and only 22% losses, evidencing the team's solidity on foreign soil. Etar wins only 25% of cases in home matches and draws as many as 50%, indicating problems translating play into victories. The difference in attacking quality is clear – Fratria has scored 35 goals in the season (averaging 1.44 per away match), while Etar has scored only 19 goals (averaging 1.63 in home matches, but with weaker efficiency). Considering all statistics, Fratria is the favorite for this meeting, although Etar may put up resistance at their own stadium, hence a moderate probability of a draw.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

74Possession (%)26
EtarFratria
14Shots6
EtarFratria
5Shots on target3
EtarFratria
1.75xG1
EtarFratria
5Corners3
EtarFratria
72Dangerous attacks56
EtarFratria
-1Fouls-1
EtarFratria
-1Cards-1
EtarFratria

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.06Goals scored / match1.94
EtarFratria
1.28Goals conceded / match0.72
EtarFratria
53%Average possession50%
EtarFratria
7.89Shots on target / match7.5
EtarFratria

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.56Shots per match11.11
EtarFratria
7.89Shots on target7.5
EtarFratria
9.1%Shot conversion17.5%
EtarFratria
53%Possession50%
EtarFratria
1.55xG for1.63
EtarFratria
1.42xG against1.47
EtarFratria

Shooting quality

Etar: BalancedFratria: Efficient finishing
EtarFratria
Accuracy (shots on target)68%68%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.130.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fratria is 11% better for: last-5 form.

1.8 pts / match - Etar · 2 pts / match - Fratria

Etar
LWWLW
Season result split
28% W39% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-7-6
1.22 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-0-2
1.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
DWDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.05Opponent xG: 1.60BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Fratria
LWDWW
Season result split
72% W11% D17% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-2-3
2.28 pts / match · goal difference +22
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Fratria is 83% better for: goals scored per match.

1.06 goals / match - Etar · 1.94 goals / match - Fratria

Fratria is 78% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.28 goals / match - Etar · 0.72 goals / match - Fratria

Etar scoring profile: mixed

Etar scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Fratria keeps a clean sheet in 44% (8 of 18 matches).

Fratria scoring profile: strong

Fratria scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Etar keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).

19Goals scored (season)35
EtarFratria
23Goals conceded (season)13
EtarFratria
2.33Average goals in match2.67
EtarFratria
6Goals scored (last 5)10
EtarFratria
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
EtarFratria

How often they score at least...

56%1 goal78%
EtarFratria
22%2 goals61%
EtarFratria
22%3 goals33%
EtarFratria
6%4 goals11%
EtarFratria

How often they concede at least...

61%1 goal56%
EtarFratria
39%2 goals17%
EtarFratria
22%3 goals0%
EtarFratria
6%4 goals0%
EtarFratria

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time17%
EtarFratria
11%BTTS in both halves6%
EtarFratria
17%Scored in both halves39%
EtarFratria

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
EtarFratria
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
EtarFratria
20%BTTS - last 520%
EtarFratria

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
EtarFratria
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
EtarFratria
11%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
EtarFratria

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
EtarFratria
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
EtarFratria
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time22%
EtarFratria

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Fratria is 78% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - Etar · 1.89 pts / match - Fratria

Etar - half-time state
17% leading56% draw28% trailing
Fratria - half-time state
50% leading39% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)1.89
EtarFratria
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.83
EtarFratria
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
EtarFratria
0.83Average goals (1st half)1.17
EtarFratria
61%Clean sheet before half-time72%
EtarFratria
72%No goal before half-time39%
EtarFratria

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)1.67
EtarFratria
0.72Goals scored (2nd half)1.11
EtarFratria
0.78Goals conceded (2nd half)0.39
EtarFratria
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.5
EtarFratria
50%Clean sheet after half-time61%
EtarFratria
56%No goal after half-time44%
EtarFratria

Etar - second-half results

22% W50% D28% L
19
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding165%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fratria - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
34
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
30
Second-half points
+13
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding144%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Etar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.002.00
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.81.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Fratria - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.60
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Etar
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
2
4
31-45
4
7
46-60
4
6
61-75
5
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Fratria
ScoredConceded
7
0
0-15
5
4
16-30
3
2
31-45
5
1
46-60
11
2
61-75
4
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.50
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
36%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-20%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
44%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
10%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 10 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Etar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.13
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Fratria

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.75
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
188%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
50%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
11% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
11%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second League).

Teams vs league

EtarLigaFratria
Average goals in match▼ 2.332.45▲ 2.67
Both teams scored▼ 33%43%▼ 39%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%42%▲ 44%
Clean sheets▲ 39%34%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%69%▲ 72%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%72%▲ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.45
Average goals per match
43%
Both teams scored
42%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
34%
Clean sheets
1.43
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+39%
Home attack advantage
+28%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Other recorded players

—Miroslav Kalinov Marinov⚽ 1

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. FratriaGoalMiroslav Kalinov Marinov

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Etar 0 - 0 - 1 Fratria. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FK Fratria
2 : 0
FK Etar Veliko Târnovo

FAQ

What was the result of Etar vs Fratria?

The Second League match finished Etar 1:1 Fratria. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Etar vs Fratria?

Etar score 1.06 goals per game on average and Fratria 1.94. The Second League average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 42% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Etar's matches and 39% of Fratria's.

What form are Etar and Fratria in?

Over the last 5 games Etar have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Fratria 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etar vs Fratria?

The statistical background for Etar vs Fratria — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.