Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a close contest with a high probability of a draw. Ethiopia Bunna occupies a higher position in the table (12th place), but their home form is poor with just 25% of matches won at home and a negative streak in recent games. Ethiopia Nigd Bank, despite a lower position (15th place), is characterized by a high percentage of away draws (63%), having failed, however, to win any away match this season. Both teams have an identical goal difference at their respective venues (-4), averaging 1 goal scored and conceded per match, and present similar xG values. The form of the last five matches for both teams is mediocre (1.4 and 1.0 points per match), which further argues for a draw in this encounter.
Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Bunna played Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 27 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ethiopia Bunna: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Bunna scores 0.88 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.19 and concedes 1.25. League average: 1.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Bunna 44%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 75%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Bunna 38%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 44%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Ethiopia Bunna: 7.8 shots per match, Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.8.
Match halves
Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.38. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Bunna: 31-45+ (5 goals). Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.73 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a close contest with a high probability of a draw. Ethiopia Bunna occupies a higher position in the table (12th place), but their home form is poor with just 25% of matches won at home and a negative streak in recent games. Ethiopia Nigd Bank, despite a lower position (15th place), is characterized by a high percentage of away draws (63%), having failed, however, to win any away match this season. Both teams have an identical goal difference at their respective venues (-4), averaging 1 goal scored and conceded per match, and present similar xG values. The form of the last five matches for both teams is mediocre (1.4 and 1.0 points per match), which further argues for a draw in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Bunna | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.44 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Bunna is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
0.88 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1.19 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopia Bunna is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1.25 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 63% of matches (10 of 16 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 19% (3 of 16 matches).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Bunna is 39% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.94 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Bunna | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.00 | 1.73 | ▲ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 28% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 31% | 41% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▲ 88% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Bunna 0:1 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Ethiopia Bunna score 0.88 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.19. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ethiopia Bunna's matches and 75% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Ethiopia Bunna and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Bunna have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopia Bunna vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.