Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie: match statistics
Ethiopia Bunna, despite weaker home form (33% win rate), demonstrates better offensive statistics in home matches, scoring an average of 1 goal per game with an xG of 1.41. Shire Endaselassie presents very poor efficiency on the road, scoring just 0.6 goals on average per match and failing to score in 60% of away fixtures. The visitors have a neutral goal difference away (0), but their xG (1.07) is lower than the hosts', suggesting less chance creation. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.0 PPG); however, home advantage and Ethiopia Bunna's superior offense tip the scales in their favor. I expect a tight match with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a high probability of a draw due to the defensive nature of both teams.
Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Bunna played Shire Endaselassie in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Ethiopia Bunna: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Shire Endaselassie: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Bunna scores 0.83 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Shire Endaselassie scores 0.67 and concedes 0.67. League average: 1.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Bunna 42%, Shire Endaselassie 25%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Bunna 33%, Shire Endaselassie 17%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Bunna has higher xG: 1.20 vs 0.98. Ethiopia Bunna: 7.7 shots per match, Shire Endaselassie: 5.6.
Match halves
Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.33. Shire Endaselassie: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Bunna: 0-15 (3 goals). Shire Endaselassie: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ethiopia Bunna, despite weaker home form (33% win rate), demonstrates better offensive statistics in home matches, scoring an average of 1 goal per game with an xG of 1.41. Shire Endaselassie presents very poor efficiency on the road, scoring just 0.6 goals on average per match and failing to score in 60% of away fixtures. The visitors have a neutral goal difference away (0), but their xG (1.07) is lower than the hosts', suggesting less chance creation. The recent form of both teams is similar (1.6 vs 1.0 PPG); however, home advantage and Ethiopia Bunna's superior offense tip the scales in their favor. I expect a tight match with a slight advantage for the hosts, with a high probability of a draw due to the defensive nature of both teams.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Bunna | Shire Endaselassie | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 42% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Bunna is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1 pts / match - Shire Endaselassie
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.67 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie
Shire Endaselassie is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.67 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 58% of matches (7 of 12 matches), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 50% (6 of 12 matches).
Shire Endaselassie scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 33% (4 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
Over / Under - Shire Endaselassie
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shire Endaselassie is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1.5 pts / match - Shire Endaselassie
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shire Endaselassie - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Bunna
Shire Endaselassie
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Bunna | Liga | Shire Endaselassie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.75 | 1.76 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 44% | ▼ 25% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | • 58% | 58% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | • 58% | 59% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopia BunnaGoalAbubakar Adamu
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Bunna 1:3 Shire Endaselassie. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie?
Ethiopia Bunna score 0.83 goals per game on average and Shire Endaselassie 0.67. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Ethiopia Bunna's matches and 25% of Shire Endaselassie's.
What form are Ethiopia Bunna and Shire Endaselassie in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Bunna have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Shire Endaselassie 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Bunna vs Shire Endaselassie?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.