Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha: match statistics
Statistical analysis suggests a balanced encounter between two teams from the bottom of the table. Ethiopia Bunna sits in 15th place with poor home form, boasting only a 22% win rate and a 'lwllwlldl' run in their last five home matches. Welayta Dicha, in 18th position, has not won any away match this season (0% efficiency), but has ended 56% of matches in a draw. Both teams share an identical goal difference of -5 at their respective venues, similar average xG indicators, and comparable conversion issues (10% vs 8% shot conversion). Recent form for both is average, with a prevalence of draws for the guests ('ldddd' in the last five matches). Given the hosts' poor disposition in home games and Welayta Dicha's tendency to draw away, a share of the points is the most probable outcome.
Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Bunna played Welayta Dicha in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 6 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Ethiopia Bunna: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Welayta Dicha: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Bunna scores 0.83 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. Welayta Dicha scores 0.89 and concedes 1.11. League average: 1.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Bunna 44%, Welayta Dicha 67%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Bunna 33%, Welayta Dicha 33%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Welayta Dicha has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.16. Ethiopia Bunna: 7.3 shots per match, Welayta Dicha: 8.9.
Match halves
Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.33. Welayta Dicha: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.56.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Bunna: 31-45+ (5 goals). Welayta Dicha: 61-75 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.70 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis suggests a balanced encounter between two teams from the bottom of the table. Ethiopia Bunna sits in 15th place with poor home form, boasting only a 22% win rate and a 'lwllwlldl' run in their last five home matches. Welayta Dicha, in 18th position, has not won any away match this season (0% efficiency), but has ended 56% of matches in a draw. Both teams share an identical goal difference of -5 at their respective venues, similar average xG indicators, and comparable conversion issues (10% vs 8% shot conversion). Recent form for both is average, with a prevalence of draws for the guests ('ldddd' in the last five matches). Given the hosts' poor disposition in home games and Welayta Dicha's tendency to draw away, a share of the points is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Bunna | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Bunna is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.8 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Welayta Dicha is 7% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 0.89 goals / match - Welayta Dicha
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 61% of matches (11 of 18 matches), while Welayta Dicha keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Welayta Dicha scores in 67% of matches (12 of 18 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 28% (5 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Bunna
Over / Under - Welayta Dicha
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopia Bunna is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.28 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna · 1 pts / match - Welayta Dicha
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Welayta Dicha - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Bunna
Welayta Dicha
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Bunna | Liga | Welayta Dicha | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.94 | 1.70 | ▲ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 28% | 41% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 61% | 54% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Bunna 1:0 Welayta Dicha. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha?
Ethiopia Bunna score 0.83 goals per game on average and Welayta Dicha 0.89. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 44% of Ethiopia Bunna's matches and 67% of Welayta Dicha's.
What form are Ethiopia Bunna and Welayta Dicha in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Bunna have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Welayta Dicha 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Bunna vs Welayta Dicha?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.