Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a close contest with a slight leaning towards a draw scenario. Ethiopia Nigd Bank displays solid home form with a 43% win rate and only 14% losses at their own stadium, averaging 1.29 goals per match. Adama Kenema is characterized by defensive stability in away matches (57% clean sheets, 0.57 average conceded goals), but poor offensive efficiency (0.71 goals/match away). Both teams hold an identical points record in their last 5 matches (1.2 PPG) and high draw rates—the hosts 43% in home matches, and the visitors a significant 57% away. The low average xG for both teams (1.25 vs 1.04) and similar form suggest difficulties in breaking down the opponent's defense. Considering all factors, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this meeting.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Nigd Bank played Adama Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 21 January 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Adama Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.13 and concedes 1.13 goals per match. Adama Kenema scores 0.73 and concedes 0.60. League average: 1.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 73%, Adama Kenema 33%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 40%, Adama Kenema 20%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopia Nigd Bank has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.09. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.8 shots per match, Adama Kenema: 6.6.
Match halves
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.67. Adama Kenema: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (5 goals). Adama Kenema: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a close contest with a slight leaning towards a draw scenario. Ethiopia Nigd Bank displays solid home form with a 43% win rate and only 14% losses at their own stadium, averaging 1.29 goals per match. Adama Kenema is characterized by defensive stability in away matches (57% clean sheets, 0.57 average conceded goals), but poor offensive efficiency (0.71 goals/match away). Both teams hold an identical points record in their last 5 matches (1.2 PPG) and high draw rates—the hosts 43% in home matches, and the visitors a significant 57% away. The low average xG for both teams (1.25 vs 1.04) and similar form suggest difficulties in breaking down the opponent's defense. Considering all factors, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.73 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Adama Kenema is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.13 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.6 goals / match - Adama Kenema
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 80% of matches (12 of 15 matches), while Adama Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 67% (10 of 15 matches).
Adama Kenema scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Over / Under - Adama Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adama Kenema is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1.07 pts / match - Adama Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Adama Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Adama Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Liga | Adama Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.27 | 1.75 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 39% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 56% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Adama KenemaGoalBiniam Ayten
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2:3 Adama Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank score 1.13 goals per game on average and Adama Kenema 0.73. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's matches and 33% of Adama Kenema's.
What form are Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Adama Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Adama Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Adama Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.