Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin: match statistics
Ethiopia Nigd Bank displays solid home form, boasting a 40% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3). The hosts have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five home fixtures, indicating a degree of stability. Conversely, Ethiopian Medhin struggles significantly on the road, having lost 50% of their away matches, with their last five outings yielding a mere 0.4 points per game. The visitors hold a negative away goal difference (-1) and fail to score in half of their away games. The hosts' average xG (1.16) relative to the visitors' away xG (1.24), combined with a superior xG Against record for the hosts (1.29 vs 1.5), suggests an edge for Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Taking into account the home advantage, the hosts' better condition, and the visitors' poor form, a home win is the most likely scenario, though a draw remains a possibility given the hosts' tendency to share the spoils (40% draw rate at home).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopia Nigd Bank played Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 31 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ethiopian Medhin: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.18 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.80 and concedes 1.00. League average: 1.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 73%, Ethiopian Medhin 50%. Over 2.5: Ethiopia Nigd Bank 36%, Ethiopian Medhin 30%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.13. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.8 shots per match, Ethiopian Medhin: 7.2.
Match halves
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.64. Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.10.
Goals by minute
Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (5 goals). Ethiopian Medhin: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.79 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ethiopia Nigd Bank displays solid home form, boasting a 40% win rate and a positive goal difference (+3). The hosts have recorded one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five home fixtures, indicating a degree of stability. Conversely, Ethiopian Medhin struggles significantly on the road, having lost 50% of their away matches, with their last five outings yielding a mere 0.4 points per game. The visitors hold a negative away goal difference (-1) and fail to score in half of their away games. The hosts' average xG (1.16) relative to the visitors' away xG (1.24), combined with a superior xG Against record for the hosts (1.29 vs 1.5), suggests an edge for Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Taking into account the home advantage, the hosts' better condition, and the visitors' poor form, a home win is the most likely scenario, though a draw remains a possibility given the hosts' tendency to share the spoils (40% draw rate at home).
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 150% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.4 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 47% better for: goals scored per match.
1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 0.8 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopian Medhin is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 20% (2 of 10 matches).
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 10% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank · 1.3 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Medhin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopia Nigd Bank | Liga | Ethiopian Medhin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.36 | 1.79 | • 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 44% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 29% | • 30% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 37% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 91% | 58% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 64% | 61% | • 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Ethiopian MedhinGoalRemedan Yesuf
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopia Nigd Bank 2:1 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin?
Ethiopia Nigd Bank score 1.18 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.80. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's matches and 50% of Ethiopian Medhin's.
What form are Ethiopia Nigd Bank and Ethiopian Medhin in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopia Nigd Bank have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopia Nigd Bank vs Ethiopian Medhin?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.