Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Bunna: match statistics
Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopian Medhin play Ethiopia Bunna in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 4 April 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Ethiopia Bunna: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.78 and concedes 0.84 goals per match. Ethiopia Bunna scores 1.05 and concedes 1.03. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopian Medhin 43%, Ethiopia Bunna 47%. Over 2.5: Ethiopian Medhin 24%, Ethiopia Bunna 37%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.22. Ethiopian Medhin: 7.3 shots per match, Ethiopia Bunna: 7.5.
Match halves
Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.32. Ethiopia Bunna: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Ethiopian Medhin: 76-90+ (8 goals). Ethiopia Bunna: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Ethiopia Bunna are favorites for this fixture: they sit 8th versus Ethiopian Medhin’s 17th and have superior form — 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 matches with an average of 2.4 points per game in that period, whereas Medhin have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss and average 1.6 points per game. Offensively Bunna scored 8 goals in their last 5 matches and on the road average 0.82 goals per game with a shot conversion rate of 16%, while Medhin have 7 goals in their last 5 and at home record only 0.55 goals per game with an 8% conversion. Defensively the home side are better at home (0.64 goals conceded per game and 3 goals conceded in the last 5), and Bunna concede 0.82 goals away and 4 goals in their last 5, meaning the visitors’ advantage is mainly in offensive efficiency. Importantly, xG shows Medhin create more chances (xG 1.24 at home versus xG 1.0 for Bunna away) but fail to convert them (0.55 goals from xG 1.24), while Bunna have higher conversion and 45% clean sheets on the road. Considering the visitors’ clearly better points form and their twice-higher shot efficacy, I predict an away win; I estimate Bunna win probability at 55%, draw 25% and home win 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ethiopia Bunna is 25% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1 pts / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Bunna is 35% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.05 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Medhin is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.84 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.03 goals / match - Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (20 of 37 matches), while Ethiopia Bunna keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).
Ethiopia Bunna scores in 68% of matches (26 of 38 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 30% (11 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under — Ethiopia Bunna
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopia Bunna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Ethiopia Bunna
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Ethiopia Bunna | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.62 | 1.78 | ▲ 2.08 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 40% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 28% | ▲ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 40% | ▼ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 51% | 56% | ▲ 66% |
| Goal after half-time | • 59% | 59% | ▲ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethiopian Medhin 1 - 0 - 0 Ethiopia Bunna. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Bunna?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 0:1 Ethiopia Bunna. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.78 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Bunna 1.05. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 47% of Ethiopia Bunna's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Ethiopia Bunna in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Ethiopia Bunna 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Bunna?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopian Medhin vs Ethiopia Bunna: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.