Ethiopian Medhin vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ethiopian Medhin played Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 5 December 2025. Final score: 1:1.

Current form

Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Mebrat Hayl: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.71 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Mebrat Hayl scores 0.75 and concedes 0.38. League average: 1.77 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ethiopian Medhin 29%, Mebrat Hayl 13%. Over 2.5: Ethiopian Medhin 29%, Mebrat Hayl 13%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 27%.

xG, shots and style

Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.06. Ethiopian Medhin: 6.7 shots per match, Mebrat Hayl: 6.4.

Match halves

Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.14. Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Ethiopian Medhin: 16-30 (2 goals). Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.77 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 27%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
0 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

44Possession (%)56
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
7Shots5
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
2Shots on target1
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
1.27xG1.22
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
1Corners6
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
95Dangerous attacks113
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
13Fouls16
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0Cards0
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0.71Goals scored / match0.75
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0.86Goals conceded / match0.38
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
53%Average possession51%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
2.86Shots on target / match1.88
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.71Shots per match6.38
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
2.86Shots on target1.88
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
10.6%Shot conversion11.8%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
53%Possession51%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
1.2xG for1.06
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
1.42xG against1.03
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

Shooting quality

Ethiopian Medhin: BalancedMebrat Hayl: Balanced
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
Accuracy (shots on target)43%29%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.17
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.40

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mebrat Hayl is 100% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.6 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl

Ethiopian Medhin
DLWLL
Season result split
29% W29% R43% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.32Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Mebrat Hayl
WDLWD
Season result split
50% W38% R13% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-1
1.88 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
DWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.04Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mebrat Hayl is 6% better for: goals scored per match.

0.71 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.75 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl

Mebrat Hayl is 126% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.86 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.38 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl

Ethiopian Medhin scoring profile: more difficult

Ethiopian Medhin scores in 29% of matches (2 of 7 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 75% (6 of 8 matches).

Mebrat Hayl scoring profile: mixed

Mebrat Hayl scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

5Goals scored (season)6
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
6Goals conceded (season)3
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
1.57Average goals in match1.13
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
3Goals scored (last 5)2
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
5Goals conceded (last 5)2
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

How often they score at least...

29%1 goal50%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
29%2 goals13%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
14%3 goals13%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0%4 goals0%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal25%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
14%2 goals13%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0%3 goals0%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0%4 goals0%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

40%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time0%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
14%Scored in both halves0%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS13%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
20%BTTS - last 50%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

43%Min. 1 goal before half-time13%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time63%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
14%Min. 2 goals after half-time25%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ethiopian Medhin is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.14 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.88 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl

Ethiopian Medhin - half-time state
14% leading71% draw14% trailing
Mebrat Hayl - half-time state
0% leading88% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per match (1st half)0.88
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0.57Goals scored (1st half)0
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0.29Goals conceded (1st half)0.13
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0.86Average goals (1st half)0.13
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
71%Clean sheet before half-time88%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
71%No goal before half-time100%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

After half-time (2nd half)

0.86Points per match (2nd half)1.88
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0.14Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0.57Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
0.71Average goals (2nd half)1
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
57%Clean sheet after half-time88%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl
86%No goal after half-time50%
Ethiopian MedhinMebrat Hayl

Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results

14% W43% R43% P
8
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mebrat Hayl - second-half results

50% W38% R13% P
7
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ethiopian Medhin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.60.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%100%
Goal difference+2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Mebrat Hayl - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.60
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.00.8
1 goal0%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ethiopian Medhin
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Mebrat Hayl
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
5
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.5 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
76%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
21%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
14%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
36%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ethiopian Medhin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.22
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.49
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.56
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.34
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Mebrat Hayl

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.31
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.65
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
43%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.8
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

Ethiopian MedhinLigaMebrat Hayl
Average goals in match 1.571.77 1.13
Both teams scored 29%40% 13%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%27% 13%
Clean sheets 29%39% 75%
Goal before half-time 43%54% 13%
Goal after half-time 57%59% 63%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.77
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
27%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
0.89
Home goals / match
0.88
Away goals / match
+1%
Home attack advantage
+1%
Home defence advantage
+5%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
6%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

Remedan Yesuf⚽ 1

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Ethiopian MedhinGoalRemedan Yesuf

FAQ

What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Mebrat Hayl?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 1:1 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Mebrat Hayl?

Ethiopian Medhin score 0.71 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 0.75. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 29% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 13% of Mebrat Hayl's.

What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Mebrat Hayl in?

Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mebrat Hayl?

The statistical background for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mebrat Hayl — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.