Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya: match statistics
Mekelakeya presents significantly better form and statistics than Ethiopian Medhin. The visitors occupy 3rd place in the table with a 50% win rate on the road, while the hosts are in 17th position without a single victory at home this season. Ethiopian Medhin has an alarming rate of 67% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium and averages only 0.33 goals per match. Mekelakeya, on the other hand, scores an average of 1.75 goals away with merely 13% of matches without scored goals. The positive goal difference of the visitors (+6) in away matches contrasts with the negative balance of the hosts (-2) in home matches. Mekelakeya's higher shot efficiency (19% vs 5%) and advantage in ball possession (59% vs 53%) additionally support the prediction of a victory for the visitors.
Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopian Medhin played Mekelakeya in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 26 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ethiopian Medhin: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Mekelakeya: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.73 and concedes 0.93 goals per match. Mekelakeya scores 1.35 and concedes 0.88. League average: 1.76 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopian Medhin 47%, Mekelakeya 47%. Over 2.5: Ethiopian Medhin 33%, Mekelakeya 35%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelakeya has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.23. Ethiopian Medhin: 7.0 shots per match, Mekelakeya: 9.0.
Match halves
Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.13. Mekelakeya: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Ethiopian Medhin: 16-30 (4 goals). Mekelakeya: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Mekelakeya presents significantly better form and statistics than Ethiopian Medhin. The visitors occupy 3rd place in the table with a 50% win rate on the road, while the hosts are in 17th position without a single victory at home this season. Ethiopian Medhin has an alarming rate of 67% of matches without scoring a goal at their own stadium and averages only 0.33 goals per match. Mekelakeya, on the other hand, scores an average of 1.75 goals away with merely 13% of matches without scored goals. The positive goal difference of the visitors (+6) in away matches contrasts with the negative balance of the hosts (-2) in home matches. Mekelakeya's higher shot efficiency (19% vs 5%) and advantage in ball possession (59% vs 53%) additionally support the prediction of a victory for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelakeya is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.2 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelakeya is 85% better for: goals scored per match.
0.73 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.35 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Mekelakeya is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.93 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.88 goals / match - Mekelakeya
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 47% of matches (7 of 15 matches), while Mekelakeya keeps a clean sheet in 41% (7 of 17 matches).
Mekelakeya scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under - Mekelakeya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelakeya is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.65 pts / match - Mekelakeya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mekelakeya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Mekelakeya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Mekelakeya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.67 | 1.76 | ▲ 2.24 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 42% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 40% | • 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 60% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 53% | 57% | ▲ 59% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- MekelakeyaGoalChernet Gugsa BeshahAssist: Bereket Desta Dana
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 0:1 Mekelakeya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.73 goals per game on average and Mekelakeya 1.35. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 47% of Mekelakeya's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Mekelakeya in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mekelakeya 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya?
The statistical background for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelakeya — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.