Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest between two sides languishing at the bottom of the table. Ethiopian Medhin, sitting in 17th place, displays poor home form with a 75% draw rate and no victories in their last five outings. Mekelle Kenema (19th place) is also struggling but demonstrates slightly better scoring efficiency (0.83 goals per away game compared to the hosts' 0.5) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 7%). Both teams possess an identical goal difference in their respective environments (-1), and recent form for both is poor (0.4 and 1.0 points per match). Considering the hosts' high tendency to draw at home (75%) and the evenly matched quality of the squads, a sharing of the spoils is the most probable outcome.
Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopian Medhin played Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 5 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ethiopian Medhin: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.82 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 1.08 and concedes 1.42. League average: 1.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopian Medhin 55%, Mekelle Kenema 67%. Over 2.5: Ethiopian Medhin 36%, Mekelle Kenema 50%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelle Kenema has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.22. Ethiopian Medhin: 6.9 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 7.4.
Match halves
Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.09. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Ethiopian Medhin: 16-30 (4 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.77 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest between two sides languishing at the bottom of the table. Ethiopian Medhin, sitting in 17th place, displays poor home form with a 75% draw rate and no victories in their last five outings. Mekelle Kenema (19th place) is also struggling but demonstrates slightly better scoring efficiency (0.83 goals per away game compared to the hosts' 0.5) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs 7%). Both teams possess an identical goal difference in their respective environments (-1), and recent form for both is poor (0.4 and 1.0 points per match). Considering the hosts' high tendency to draw at home (75%) and the evenly matched quality of the squads, a sharing of the spoils is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelle Kenema is 150% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
0.82 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.08 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Ethiopian Medhin is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.42 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 17% (2 of 12 matches).
Mekelle Kenema scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.33 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 8%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Mekelle Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.91 | 1.77 | ▲ 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 43% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 36% | 28% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 38% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 64% | 58% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 64% | 58% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Mekelle KenemaGoalFitsum Alemu Fekir
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 0:1 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.82 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 1.08. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 67% of Mekelle Kenema's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Mekelle Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema?
The statistical background for Ethiopian Medhin vs Mekelle Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.