Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: match statistics
The match shapes up to be a very evenly matched clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Ethiopian Medhin sits in 16th place, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni is in 19th position, indicating a similar sporting level. The hosts have a dismal home form with 0% wins and a massive 60% of matches ending in a draw, making this the most probable outcome. The visitors have recorded three draws in their last five away matches, confirming their difficulties in securing wins on the road. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their respective contexts (-2), similar xG values (1.25 vs 1.08), and low offensive efficiency. Statistics point towards a defensive encounter favoring a draw, although the hosts might leverage home advantage to take all three points, while the visitors would likely be satisfied with sharing the spoils.
Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethiopian Medhin played Welwalo Adigrat Uni in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 15 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Ethiopian Medhin: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.85 and concedes 1.08 goals per match. Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores 0.53 and concedes 1.27. League average: 1.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethiopian Medhin 54%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 40%. Over 2.5: Ethiopian Medhin 38%, Welwalo Adigrat Uni 27%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Ethiopian Medhin has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.02. Ethiopian Medhin: 6.8 shots per match, Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 5.3.
Match halves
Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.15. Welwalo Adigrat Uni: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.20.
Goals by minute
Ethiopian Medhin: 16-30 (4 goals). Welwalo Adigrat Uni: 16-30 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.72 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match shapes up to be a very evenly matched clash between two teams from the bottom of the table. Ethiopian Medhin sits in 16th place, while Welwalo Adigrat Uni is in 19th position, indicating a similar sporting level. The hosts have a dismal home form with 0% wins and a massive 60% of matches ending in a draw, making this the most probable outcome. The visitors have recorded three draws in their last five away matches, confirming their difficulties in securing wins on the road. Both teams have an identical goal difference in their respective contexts (-2), similar xG values (1.25 vs 1.08), and low offensive efficiency. Statistics point towards a defensive encounter favoring a draw, although the hosts might leverage home advantage to take all three points, while the visitors would likely be satisfied with sharing the spoils.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethiopian Medhin | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.18 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopian Medhin is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 0.53 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Ethiopian Medhin is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.08 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.27 goals / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Ethiopian Medhin scores in 54% of matches (7 of 13 matches), while Welwalo Adigrat Uni keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
Welwalo Adigrat Uni scores in 47% of matches (7 of 15 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethiopian Medhin
Over / Under - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ethiopian Medhin is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin · 1.13 pts / match - Welwalo Adigrat Uni
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Welwalo Adigrat Uni - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 13%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethiopian Medhin
Welwalo Adigrat Uni
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Ethiopian Medhin | Liga | Welwalo Adigrat Uni | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.92 | 1.72 | • 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 42% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 38% | 27% | • 27% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 39% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 56% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 62% | 57% | ▼ 47% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Ethiopian Medhin 0:0 Welwalo Adigrat Uni. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Ethiopian Medhin score 0.85 goals per game on average and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0.53. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Ethiopian Medhin's matches and 40% of Welwalo Adigrat Uni's.
What form are Ethiopian Medhin and Welwalo Adigrat Uni in?
Over the last 5 games Ethiopian Medhin have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Welwalo Adigrat Uni 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethiopian Medhin vs Welwalo Adigrat Uni: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.