Ethnikos Achna vs AEL: match statistics
Ethnikos Achna demonstrates significantly better form in home fixtures, boasting a 57% win rate and only 29% losses, laying a solid foundation for a victory. The hosts average 1.43 goals scored against just 0.57 conceded at home, resulting in a positive goal difference of +6. Conversely, AEL struggles on the road with a mere 29% win rate and failing to score in 71% of matches, while conceding an average of 2 goals per away game. The disparity in xG values (1.29 for the hosts vs 0.82 for the visitors away) further validates Ethnikos Achna's advantage. Despite the hosts' weaker recent overall form, their dominance on home soil combined with AEL's evident away struggles favor a win for Ethnikos Achna. However, it is worth noting that AEL has shown better overall form in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 points per match, suggesting a potentially tight contest with draw possibilities.
Ethnikos Achna vs AEL: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ethnikos Achna played AEL in First Division (Cyprus). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ethnikos Achna: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. AEL: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ethnikos Achna scores 1.13 and concedes 1.93 goals per match. AEL scores 1.27 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ethnikos Achna 47%, AEL 33%. Over 2.5: Ethnikos Achna 67%, AEL 53%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Ethnikos Achna has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.01. Ethnikos Achna: 10.3 shots per match, AEL: 7.6.
Match halves
Ethnikos Achna: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.60. AEL: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
Ethnikos Achna: 31-45+ (6 goals). AEL: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First Division: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ethnikos Achna demonstrates significantly better form in home fixtures, boasting a 57% win rate and only 29% losses, laying a solid foundation for a victory. The hosts average 1.43 goals scored against just 0.57 conceded at home, resulting in a positive goal difference of +6. Conversely, AEL struggles on the road with a mere 29% win rate and failing to score in 71% of matches, while conceding an average of 2 goals per away game. The disparity in xG values (1.29 for the hosts vs 0.82 for the visitors away) further validates Ethnikos Achna's advantage. Despite the hosts' weaker recent overall form, their dominance on home soil combined with AEL's evident away struggles favor a win for Ethnikos Achna. However, it is worth noting that AEL has shown better overall form in their last five matches, averaging 1.6 points per match, suggesting a potentially tight contest with draw possibilities.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ethnikos Achna | AEL | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.50 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AEL is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna · 1.27 goals / match - AEL
AEL is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.93 goals / match - Ethnikos Achna · 1.47 goals / match - AEL
Ethnikos Achna scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while AEL keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).
AEL scores in 53% of matches (8 of 15 matches), while Ethnikos Achna keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ethnikos Achna
Over / Under - AEL
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ethnikos Achna - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.9 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
AEL - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ethnikos Achna
AEL
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First Division).
Teams vs league
| Ethnikos Achna | Liga | AEL | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.07 | 2.55 | ▲ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 39% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 34% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 71% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 87% | 81% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ethnikos Achna 0 - 1 - 0 AEL. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ethnikos Achna vs AEL?
The First Division match finished Ethnikos Achna 0:1 AEL. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ethnikos Achna vs AEL?
Ethnikos Achna score 1.13 goals per game on average and AEL 1.27. The First Division average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Ethnikos Achna's matches and 33% of AEL's.
What form are Ethnikos Achna and AEL in?
Over the last 5 games Ethnikos Achna have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and AEL 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ethnikos Achna vs AEL?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ethnikos Achna vs AEL: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.