Etincelles vs AS Kigali: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest between two bottom-table sides. As hosts, Etincelles have yet to win a home match this season (0% Win%), yet a significant 57% of their games have ended in draws, highlighting their struggle to find the net (71% FTS%). AS Kigali also display poor form on the road, suffering 63% losses with only 13% wins. Both teams possess a negative goal difference (Etincelles -4, AS Kigali -5) alongside low offensive output. Recent form over the last five matches remains weak (0.8 PPG for the hosts, 0.6 PPG for the visitors), further suggesting a gritty, balanced encounter. Considering Etincelles' high tendency to draw at home and the overall lack of quality from both sides, sharing the points appears the most likely outcome.
Etincelles vs AS Kigali: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Etincelles played AS Kigali in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 3 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Etincelles: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. AS Kigali: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Etincelles scores 0.79 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. AS Kigali scores 0.69 and concedes 1.31. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Etincelles 64%, AS Kigali 44%. Over 2.5: Etincelles 29%, AS Kigali 31%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
AS Kigali has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.16. Etincelles: 6.1 shots per match, AS Kigali: 6.9.
Match halves
Etincelles: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43. AS Kigali: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Etincelles: 31-45+ (3 goals). AS Kigali: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a tight contest between two bottom-table sides. As hosts, Etincelles have yet to win a home match this season (0% Win%), yet a significant 57% of their games have ended in draws, highlighting their struggle to find the net (71% FTS%). AS Kigali also display poor form on the road, suffering 63% losses with only 13% wins. Both teams possess a negative goal difference (Etincelles -4, AS Kigali -5) alongside low offensive output. Recent form over the last five matches remains weak (0.8 PPG for the hosts, 0.6 PPG for the visitors), further suggesting a gritty, balanced encounter. Considering Etincelles' high tendency to draw at home and the overall lack of quality from both sides, sharing the points appears the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Etincelles | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.19 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Etincelles is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Etincelles · 0.6 pts / match - AS Kigali
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Etincelles is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Etincelles · 0.69 goals / match - AS Kigali
Etincelles is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.21 goals / match - Etincelles · 1.31 goals / match - AS Kigali
Etincelles scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while AS Kigali keeps a clean sheet in 31% (5 of 16 matches).
AS Kigali scores in 56% of matches (9 of 16 matches), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 21% (3 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Etincelles
Over / Under - AS Kigali
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Etincelles is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Etincelles · 0.63 pts / match - AS Kigali
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 7%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AS Kigali - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Etincelles
AS Kigali
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Etincelles | Liga | AS Kigali | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 1.94 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 40% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 31% | • 31% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 37% | ▼ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 60% | ▼ 50% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Etincelles vs AS Kigali?
The National Soccer League match finished Etincelles 0:1 AS Kigali. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Etincelles vs AS Kigali?
Etincelles score 0.79 goals per game on average and AS Kigali 0.69. The National Soccer League average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Etincelles's matches and 44% of AS Kigali's.
What form are Etincelles and AS Kigali in?
Over the last 5 games Etincelles have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and AS Kigali 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etincelles vs AS Kigali?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.