Etincelles vs Musanze: match statistics
Musanze clearly displays superior form and seasonal statistics compared to Etincelles. The hosts are in the last 18th place in the table with just one win this season and a disastrous streak of five consecutive defeats, having won none of their home matches this season (0% Win%). Etincelles has major efficiency problems – they score an average of only 0.33 goals per game at home and fail to score in 67% of their matches. Meanwhile, Musanze is in 7th place with a solid record of 8 wins and good form (3 wins in the last 5 matches). The visitors boast significantly better efficiency (23% shot conversion vs 4% for the hosts), average 1.38 goals per away game, and win 38% of their away matches. Musanze's positive away goal difference (+4) compared to Etincelles' poor home goal difference (-6), combined with their superior form and team quality, point to a likely away victory.
Etincelles vs Musanze: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Etincelles played Musanze in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Etincelles: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Musanze: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Etincelles scores 0.67 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Musanze scores 1.50 and concedes 1.06. League average: 2.04 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Etincelles 56%, Musanze 44%. Over 2.5: Etincelles 28%, Musanze 44%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Etincelles has higher xG: 1.13 vs 1.09. Etincelles: 6.8 shots per match, Musanze: 6.3.
Match halves
Etincelles: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.33. Musanze: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Etincelles: 31-45+ (4 goals). Musanze: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National Soccer League: 2.04 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Musanze clearly displays superior form and seasonal statistics compared to Etincelles. The hosts are in the last 18th place in the table with just one win this season and a disastrous streak of five consecutive defeats, having won none of their home matches this season (0% Win%). Etincelles has major efficiency problems – they score an average of only 0.33 goals per game at home and fail to score in 67% of their matches. Meanwhile, Musanze is in 7th place with a solid record of 8 wins and good form (3 wins in the last 5 matches). The visitors boast significantly better efficiency (23% shot conversion vs 4% for the hosts), average 1.38 goals per away game, and win 38% of their away matches. Musanze's positive away goal difference (+4) compared to Etincelles' poor home goal difference (-6), combined with their superior form and team quality, point to a likely away victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Etincelles | Musanze | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.59 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Musanze is 800% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Etincelles · 1.8 pts / match - Musanze
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Musanze is 124% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Etincelles · 1.5 goals / match - Musanze
Musanze is 21% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.28 goals / match - Etincelles · 1.06 goals / match - Musanze
Etincelles scores in 56% of matches (10 of 18 matches), while Musanze keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
Musanze scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Etincelles keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Etincelles
Over / Under - Musanze
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Musanze is 60% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.94 pts / match - Etincelles · 1.5 pts / match - Musanze
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Etincelles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 6%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Musanze - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Etincelles
Musanze
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).
Teams vs league
| Etincelles | Liga | Musanze | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.94 | 2.04 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 40% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 35% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 72% | 67% | ▲ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Etincelles 1 - 0 - 0 Musanze. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Etincelles vs Musanze?
The National Soccer League match finished Etincelles 1:0 Musanze. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Etincelles vs Musanze?
Etincelles score 0.67 goals per game on average and Musanze 1.50. The National Soccer League average is 2.04 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Etincelles's matches and 44% of Musanze's.
What form are Etincelles and Musanze in?
Over the last 5 games Etincelles have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Musanze 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etincelles vs Musanze?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Etincelles vs Musanze: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.