Switzerland - Challenge LeagueData current as of 07 September 2026

Étoile Carouge vs Winterthur: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Étoile Carouge vs Winterthur: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Étoile Carouge play Winterthur in Challenge League (Switzerland). The match date is 11 September 2026.

Current form

Étoile Carouge: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Winterthur: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Étoile Carouge scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Winterthur scores 2.29 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.00 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Étoile Carouge 43%, Winterthur 43%. Over 2.5: Étoile Carouge 43%, Winterthur 57%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Étoile Carouge has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.87. Étoile Carouge: 18.6 shots per match, Winterthur: 16.9.

Match halves

Étoile Carouge: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.57. Winterthur: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Étoile Carouge: 31-45+ (2 goals). Winterthur: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Challenge League: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Étoile CarougeWinterthur
1Goals scored / match2.29
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
1Goals conceded / match1
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
54%Average possession54%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
4.71Shots on target / match6.14
Étoile CarougeWinterthur

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18.57Shots per match16.86
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
4.71Shots on target6.14
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
5.4%Shot conversion13.6%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
54%Possession54%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
1.89xG for1.87
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
1.37xG against1.47
Étoile CarougeWinterthur

Shooting quality

Étoile Carouge: AttackingWinterthur: Attacking
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
Accuracy (shots on target)25%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Winterthur is 120% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Étoile Carouge · 2.2 pts / match - Winterthur

Étoile Carouge
LDWLD
Season result split
29% W43% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Winterthur
WWDDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
43% W43% R14% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-1
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
LWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.39BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Winterthur is 129% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Étoile Carouge · 2.29 goals / match - Winterthur

Étoile Carouge scoring profile: mixed

Étoile Carouge scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Winterthur keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

Winterthur scoring profile: very strong

Winterthur scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Étoile Carouge keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

7Goals scored (season)16
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
7Goals conceded (season)7
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
2Average goals in match3.29
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
3Goals scored (last 5)14
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
6Goals conceded (last 5)3
Étoile CarougeWinterthur

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal86%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
29%2 goals71%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
14%3 goals29%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
0%4 goals29%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur

How often they concede at least...

71%1 goal57%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
14%2 goals43%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
14%3 goals0%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
0%4 goals0%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

60%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time14%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
14%Scored in both halves43%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur

BTTS and goal count

14%Min. 3 goals and BTTS29%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
29%Min. 3 goals without BTTS29%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
40%BTTS - last 540%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time86%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time43%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
29%Min. 2 goals after half-time29%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Winterthur is 86% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Étoile Carouge · 1.86 pts / match - Winterthur

Étoile Carouge - half-time state
14% leading57% draw29% trailing
Winterthur - half-time state
57% leading14% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.86
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
0.43Goals scored (1st half)1.29
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
0.57Goals conceded (1st half)0.43
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
1Average goals (1st half)1.71
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
43%Clean sheet before half-time57%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
57%No goal before half-time43%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur

After half-time (2nd half)

1.29Points per match (2nd half)1.86
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
0.57Goals scored (2nd half)1
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
1Average goals (2nd half)1.57
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
71%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur
71%No goal after half-time29%
Étoile CarougeWinterthur

Étoile Carouge - second-half results

29% W43% R29% P
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Winterthur - second-half results

57% W14% R29% P
13
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.86
PPG before half-time
Lead holding75%

Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 43%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Étoile Carouge - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.40.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Winterthur - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.402.40
Goals scored / match1.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match2.21.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%20%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+7+4
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 9

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Étoile Carouge
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Winterthur
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
2
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.65
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
88%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
43%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Étoile Carouge

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.52
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.89
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
56%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Winterthur

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.40
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-5.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.42
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
186%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.49
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Challenge League).

Teams vs league

Étoile CarougeLigaWinterthur
Average goals in match 2.003.00 3.29
Both teams scored 43%60% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 43%57% 57%
Clean sheets 29%21% 43%
Goal before half-time 71%86% 86%
Goal after half-time 57%86% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.00
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.77
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+14%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Étoile Carouge and Winterthur play?

Étoile Carouge face Winterthur on 11 September 2026 in Challenge League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Étoile Carouge vs Winterthur?

Étoile Carouge score 1.00 goals per game on average and Winterthur 2.29. The Challenge League average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Étoile Carouge's matches and 43% of Winterthur's.

What form are Étoile Carouge and Winterthur in?

Over the last 5 games Étoile Carouge have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Winterthur 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Étoile Carouge vs Winterthur?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.