Rwanda - National Soccer LeagueData current as of 15 October 2026

Etoile de l'Est vs Mukura: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Etoile de l'Est vs Mukura: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Etoile de l'Est play Mukura in National Soccer League (Rwanda). The match date is 17 October 2026.

Current form

Etoile de l'Est: 0-1-2, 0.33 points/match. Mukura: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Etoile de l'Est scores 0.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Mukura scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67. League average: 1.54 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Etoile de l'Est 33%, Mukura 33%. Over 2.5: Etoile de l'Est 33%, Mukura 33%. League level: BTTS 23%, Over 2.5 15%.

xG, shots and style

Mukura has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.17. Etoile de l'Est: 6.7 shots per match, Mukura: 8.3.

Match halves

Etoile de l'Est: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00. Mukura: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Etoile de l'Est: 31-45+ (1 goals). Mukura: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National Soccer League: 1.54 goals per match, BTTS 23%, Over 2.5 15%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Etoile de l'EstMukura
0.33Goals scored / match1.33
Etoile de l'EstMukura
1.33Goals conceded / match0.67
Etoile de l'EstMukura
52%Average possession54%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
1.67Shots on target / match2.33
Etoile de l'EstMukura

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

6.67Shots per match8.33
Etoile de l'EstMukura
1.67Shots on target2.33
Etoile de l'EstMukura
5%Shot conversion16%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
52%Possession54%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
1.17xG for1.23
Etoile de l'EstMukura
1.31xG against1.46
Etoile de l'EstMukura

Shooting quality

Etoile de l'Est: BalancedMukura: Efficient finishing
Etoile de l'EstMukura
Accuracy (shots on target)25%28%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.180.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.200.57

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mukura is 506% better for: last-5 form.

0.33 pts / match - Etoile de l'Est · 2 pts / match - Mukura

Etoile de l'Est
LDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W33% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-2
0.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 at home
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.3Goals conceded: 1.3xG: 1.17Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%
Mukura
WLW
Season result split
67% W0% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-0
Last 5 away
1-0-0
W
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.3Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 1.23Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 33%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mukura is 303% better for: goals scored per match.

0.33 goals / match - Etoile de l'Est · 1.33 goals / match - Mukura

Mukura is 99% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.33 goals / match - Etoile de l'Est · 0.67 goals / match - Mukura

Etoile de l'Est scoring profile: mixed

Etoile de l'Est scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Mukura keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

Mukura scoring profile: strong

Mukura scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Etoile de l'Est keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

1Goals scored (season)4
Etoile de l'EstMukura
4Goals conceded (season)2
Etoile de l'EstMukura
1.67Average goals in match2
Etoile de l'EstMukura
1Goals scored (last 5)4
Etoile de l'EstMukura
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
Etoile de l'EstMukura

How often they score at least...

33%1 goal67%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0%2 goals67%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0%3 goals0%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0%4 goals0%
Etoile de l'EstMukura

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
67%2 goals0%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0%3 goals0%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0%4 goals0%
Etoile de l'EstMukura

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

23%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time0%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0%Scored in both halves67%
Etoile de l'EstMukura

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
33%BTTS - last 533%
Etoile de l'EstMukura

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

33%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Etoile de l'EstMukura

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Etoile de l'EstMukura

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Mukura is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Etoile de l'Est · 2.33 pts / match - Mukura

Etoile de l'Est - half-time state
0% leading100% draw0% trailing
Mukura - half-time state
67% leading33% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)2.33
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0.67Average goals (1st half)0.67
Etoile de l'EstMukura
67%Clean sheet before half-time100%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
67%No goal before half-time33%
Etoile de l'EstMukura

After half-time (2nd half)

0.33Points per match (2nd half)1.33
Etoile de l'EstMukura
0Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Etoile de l'EstMukura
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
Etoile de l'EstMukura
1Average goals (2nd half)1.33
Etoile de l'EstMukura
33%Clean sheet after half-time33%
Etoile de l'EstMukura
100%No goal after half-time33%
Etoile de l'EstMukura

Etoile de l'Est - second-half results

0% W33% D67% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
1
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Mukura - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Etoile de l'Est - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.000.33
Goals scored / match0.30.0
Goals conceded / match0.31.0
Average goals in match0.71.0
1 goal33%67%
2 goals33%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet67%33%
No goal67%100%
Goal difference0-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 100% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 33% draw - 67% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 1
Mukura - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.331.33
Goals scored / match0.70.7
Goals conceded / match0.00.7
Average goals in match0.71.3
1 goal67%100%
2 goals0%33%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%33%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+20
Half-time: 67% leading - 33% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Etoile de l'Est
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Mukura
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.83
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
33%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
22%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Etoile de l'Est

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.86
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
36%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
215%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Mukura

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.89
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.10
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.79
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
215%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
73%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National Soccer League).

Teams vs league

Etoile de l'EstLigaMukura
Average goals in match▲ 1.671.54▲ 2.00
Both teams scored▲ 33%23%▲ 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 33%15%▲ 33%
Clean sheets▼ 33%46%▼ 33%
Goal before half-time▼ 33%62%▲ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 67%54%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.54
Average goals per match
23%
Both teams scored
15%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
46%
Clean sheets
0.92
Home goals / match
0.62
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+15%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
19%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
12%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Etoile de l'Est and Mukura play?

Etoile de l'Est face Mukura on 17 October 2026 in National Soccer League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Etoile de l'Est vs Mukura?

Etoile de l'Est score 0.33 goals per game on average and Mukura 1.33. The National Soccer League average is 1.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 15% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Etoile de l'Est's matches and 33% of Mukura's.

What form are Etoile de l'Est and Mukura in?

Over the last 5 games Etoile de l'Est have a 0-1-2 record (0.33 points per game) and Mukura 2-0-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etoile de l'Est vs Mukura?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.