Etoile du Sahel vs Ben Guerdane: match statistics
Etoile du Sahel presents solid home form with a record of 44% wins and 44% clean sheets at their own stadium, which constitutes their greatest asset. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +2 in home matches and an advantage in possession (55%) as well as shot efficiency (13%). Ben Guerdane performs poorly on the road with only 11% wins, a high rate of failing to score (44%), and a negative goal difference of -7. Despite the visitors' better recent form (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG for the hosts), their clear struggles in away matches and xG statistics (0.86 For vs 1.36 Against) indicate difficulties in securing points away from home. Considering all factors, I predict a victory for the hosts, although the form of both teams suggests that a draw is also a realistic scenario.
Etoile du Sahel vs Ben Guerdane: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Etoile du Sahel play Ben Guerdane in Ligue 1 (Tunisia). The match date is 28 January 2026 at 14:00. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Etoile du Sahel: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Ben Guerdane: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Etoile du Sahel scores 0.93 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ben Guerdane scores 0.60 and concedes 0.73. League average: 1.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Etoile du Sahel 37%, Ben Guerdane 20%. Over 2.5: Etoile du Sahel 30%, Ben Guerdane 13%. League level: BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Etoile du Sahel has higher xG: 1.11 vs 1.04. Etoile du Sahel: 7.2 shots per match, Ben Guerdane: 5.6.
Match halves
Etoile du Sahel: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.57. Ben Guerdane: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Etoile du Sahel: 61-75 (10 goals). Ben Guerdane: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligue 1: 1.73 goals per match, BTTS 26%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Etoile du Sahel presents solid home form with a record of 44% wins and 44% clean sheets at their own stadium, which constitutes their greatest asset. The hosts have a positive goal difference of +2 in home matches and an advantage in possession (55%) as well as shot efficiency (13%). Ben Guerdane performs poorly on the road with only 11% wins, a high rate of failing to score (44%), and a negative goal difference of -7. Despite the visitors' better recent form (2.0 PPG vs 1.4 PPG for the hosts), their clear struggles in away matches and xG statistics (0.86 For vs 1.36 Against) indicate difficulties in securing points away from home. Considering all factors, I predict a victory for the hosts, although the form of both teams suggests that a draw is also a realistic scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Etoile du Sahel | Ben Guerdane | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ben Guerdane is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Etoile du Sahel · 1.4 pts / match - Ben Guerdane
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Etoile du Sahel is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Etoile du Sahel · 0.6 goals / match - Ben Guerdane
Ben Guerdane is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Etoile du Sahel · 0.73 goals / match - Ben Guerdane
Etoile du Sahel scores in 70% of matches (21 of 30 matches), while Ben Guerdane keeps a clean sheet in 50% (15 of 30 matches).
Ben Guerdane scores in 47% of matches (14 of 30 matches), while Etoile du Sahel keeps a clean sheet in 47% (14 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Etoile du Sahel
Over / Under — Ben Guerdane
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Etoile du Sahel - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ben Guerdane - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Etoile du Sahel
Ben Guerdane
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligue 1).
Teams vs league
| Etoile du Sahel | Liga | Ben Guerdane | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 1.93 | 1.73 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 37% | 26% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▼ 13% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 60% | ▼ 47% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Etoile du Sahel 0 - 1 - 0 Ben Guerdane. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Etoile du Sahel vs Ben Guerdane?
The Ligue 1 match finished Etoile du Sahel 0:0 Ben Guerdane. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Etoile du Sahel vs Ben Guerdane?
Etoile du Sahel score 0.93 goals per game on average and Ben Guerdane 0.60. The Ligue 1 average is 1.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Etoile du Sahel's matches and 20% of Ben Guerdane's.
What form are Etoile du Sahel and Ben Guerdane in?
Over the last 5 games Etoile du Sahel have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Ben Guerdane 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Etoile du Sahel vs Ben Guerdane?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.