Everton vs Brentford: match statistics
Everton presents solid home form with 44% of matches won at home and just 33% losses, giving them a significant edge over Brentford. The visitors have a catastrophic away record—a staggering 78% losses and only 22% wins—making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. Brentford concedes an average of 1.78 goals per away match, while Everton scores an average of 1.22 goals in home matches, which, combined with home support, could tip the scales in their favor. Everton's positive home goal difference (+1) contrasts sharply with Brentford's dismal away record (-8). The form of both teams in the last five matches is even; however, home advantage and direct H2H statistics favor the hosts. A draw remains a realistic option due to the unpredictability of the Premier League and the similar standing of both teams in the table.
Everton vs Brentford: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Everton played Brentford in Premier League (England). The match was played on 4 January 2026. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
Everton: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Brentford: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Everton scores 1.05 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Brentford scores 1.47 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Everton 32%, Brentford 58%. Over 2.5: Everton 32%, Brentford 53%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Everton has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.21. Everton: 10.6 shots per match, Brentford: 9.8.
Match halves
Everton: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.53. Brentford: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Everton: 76-90+ (6 goals). Brentford: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Everton presents solid home form with 44% of matches won at home and just 33% losses, giving them a significant edge over Brentford. The visitors have a catastrophic away record—a staggering 78% losses and only 22% wins—making them one of the weakest away teams in the league. Brentford concedes an average of 1.78 goals per away match, while Everton scores an average of 1.22 goals in home matches, which, combined with home support, could tip the scales in their favor. Everton's positive home goal difference (+1) contrasts sharply with Brentford's dismal away record (-8). The form of both teams in the last five matches is even; however, home advantage and direct H2H statistics favor the hosts. A draw remains a realistic option due to the unpredictability of the Premier League and the similar standing of both teams in the table.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Everton | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Brentford is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Everton · 1.6 pts / match - Brentford
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Brentford is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Everton · 1.47 goals / match - Brentford
Everton is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Everton · 1.37 goals / match - Brentford
Everton scores in 63% of matches (12 of 19 matches), while Brentford keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Brentford scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Everton keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Everton
Over / Under - Brentford
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Everton is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.53 pts / match - Everton · 1.37 pts / match - Brentford
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Everton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Brentford - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Everton
Brentford
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Everton | Liga | Brentford | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.78 | • 2.84 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 54% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 55% | ▼ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 26% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 79% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Everton vs Brentford?
The Premier League match finished Everton 2:4 Brentford. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Everton vs Brentford?
Everton score 1.05 goals per game on average and Brentford 1.47. The Premier League average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Everton's matches and 58% of Brentford's.
What form are Everton and Brentford in?
Over the last 5 games Everton have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Brentford 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Everton vs Brentford?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.