Everton vs Burnley: match statistics
Everton has a clear advantage as the host in this clash. Although their home form is not impressive (29% wins), Burnley presents catastrophic results away - barely 14% wins and 0% clean sheets, conceding an average of 2.36 goals per match. The difference in expected goals quality (xG) is telling: Everton generates 1.48 xG in home matches with 1.31 xG Against, while Burnley has only 1.00 xG For with 1.95 xG Against away. The recent form of both teams in the last five matches is close (1.4 vs 0.8 PPG), however, table position (8th place vs 19th place) and Burnley's away goal difference (-16) point to a home advantage. Everton should exploit the visitors' defensive weaknesses, though their own issues with efficiency (9% shot conversion) could make the match competitive, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
Everton vs Burnley: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Everton played Burnley in Premier League (England). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Everton: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Burnley: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Everton scores 1.14 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Burnley scores 1.14 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.79 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Everton 46%, Burnley 61%. Over 2.5: Everton 36%, Burnley 54%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Everton has higher xG: 1.29 vs 1.08. Everton: 11.0 shots per match, Burnley: 9.2.
Match halves
Everton: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.64. Burnley: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Everton: 76-90+ (11 goals). Burnley: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premier League: 2.79 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Everton has a clear advantage as the host in this clash. Although their home form is not impressive (29% wins), Burnley presents catastrophic results away - barely 14% wins and 0% clean sheets, conceding an average of 2.36 goals per match. The difference in expected goals quality (xG) is telling: Everton generates 1.48 xG in home matches with 1.31 xG Against, while Burnley has only 1.00 xG For with 1.95 xG Against away. The recent form of both teams in the last five matches is close (1.4 vs 0.8 PPG), however, table position (8th place vs 19th place) and Burnley's away goal difference (-16) point to a home advantage. Everton should exploit the visitors' defensive weaknesses, though their own issues with efficiency (9% shot conversion) could make the match competitive, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Everton | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Everton is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Everton · 0.8 pts / match - Burnley
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Everton is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Everton · 2 goals / match - Burnley
Everton scores in 71% of matches (20 of 28 matches), while Burnley keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 28 matches).
Burnley scores in 68% of matches (19 of 28 matches), while Everton keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Everton
Over / Under - Burnley
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Everton is 115% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.46 pts / match - Everton · 0.68 pts / match - Burnley
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Everton - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Burnley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 2.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -6 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Everton
Burnley
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Everton | Liga | Burnley | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.79 | ▲ 3.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 57% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 54% | • 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 25% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Everton 0 - 1 - 0 Burnley. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Everton vs Burnley?
The Premier League match finished Everton 2:0 Burnley. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Everton vs Burnley?
Everton score 1.14 goals per game on average and Burnley 1.14. The Premier League average is 2.79 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Everton's matches and 61% of Burnley's.
What form are Everton and Burnley in?
Over the last 5 games Everton have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Burnley 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Everton vs Burnley?
The statistical background for Everton vs Burnley — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.