England - Premier LeagueHill Dickinson StadiumData current as of 14 October 2026

Everton vs Chelsea: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Everton vs Chelsea: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Everton play Chelsea in Premier League (England). The match date is 17 October 2026. Venue: Hill Dickinson Stadium.

Current form

Everton: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Chelsea: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Everton scores 1.33 and concedes 0.83 goals per match. Chelsea scores 2.50 and concedes 2.17. League average: 2.95 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Everton 50%, Chelsea 83%. Over 2.5: Everton 33%, Chelsea 100%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.

xG, shots and style

Everton has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.55. Everton: 15.8 shots per match, Chelsea: 13.7.

Match halves

Everton: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.00. Chelsea: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Everton: 76-90+ (3 goals). Chelsea: 0-15 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Premier League: 2.95 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 57%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(3.29)
(3.72)
(2.26)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.33Goals scored / match2.5
EvertonChelsea
0.83Goals conceded / match2.17
EvertonChelsea
47%Average possession48%
EvertonChelsea
5Shots on target / match5.33
EvertonChelsea

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.83Shots per match13.67
EvertonChelsea
5Shots on target5.33
EvertonChelsea
8.4%Shot conversion18.3%
EvertonChelsea
47%Possession48%
EvertonChelsea
1.74xG for1.55
EvertonChelsea
1.43xG against1.66
EvertonChelsea

Shooting quality

Everton: AttackingChelsea: Efficient finishing
EvertonChelsea
Accuracy (shots on target)32%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.47

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Everton
DDDWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W67% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-4-0
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 at home
2-1-0
WDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.72Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Chelsea
WLDLW
Season result split
50% W17% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-1-2
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Last 5 away
1-0-2
WLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.49Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Chelsea is 88% better for: goals scored per match.

1.33 goals / match - Everton · 2.5 goals / match - Chelsea

Everton is 161% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.83 goals / match - Everton · 2.17 goals / match - Chelsea

Everton scoring profile: very strong

Everton scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Chelsea keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

Chelsea scoring profile: strong

Chelsea scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Everton keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).

8Goals scored (season)15
EvertonChelsea
5Goals conceded (season)13
EvertonChelsea
2.17Average goals in match4.67
EvertonChelsea
6Goals scored (last 5)12
EvertonChelsea
5Goals conceded (last 5)11
EvertonChelsea

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal83%
EvertonChelsea
50%2 goals67%
EvertonChelsea
0%3 goals50%
EvertonChelsea
0%4 goals33%
EvertonChelsea

How often they concede at least...

50%1 goal100%
EvertonChelsea
33%2 goals83%
EvertonChelsea
0%3 goals33%
EvertonChelsea
0%4 goals0%
EvertonChelsea

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time67%
EvertonChelsea
0%BTTS in both halves33%
EvertonChelsea
17%Scored in both halves67%
EvertonChelsea

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS83%
EvertonChelsea
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS17%
EvertonChelsea
60%BTTS - last 580%
EvertonChelsea

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

50%Min. 1 goal before half-time83%
EvertonChelsea
0%Min. 2 goals before half-time83%
EvertonChelsea
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time50%
EvertonChelsea

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
EvertonChelsea
33%Min. 2 goals after half-time67%
EvertonChelsea
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time50%
EvertonChelsea

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Chelsea is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.5 pts / match - Everton · 1.83 pts / match - Chelsea

Everton - half-time state
33% leading50% draw17% trailing
Chelsea - half-time state
50% leading33% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.5Points per match (1st half)1.83
EvertonChelsea
0.33Goals scored (1st half)1.5
EvertonChelsea
0.17Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
EvertonChelsea
0.5Average goals (1st half)2.33
EvertonChelsea
83%Clean sheet before half-time33%
EvertonChelsea
67%No goal before half-time17%
EvertonChelsea

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1.17
EvertonChelsea
1Goals scored (2nd half)1
EvertonChelsea
0.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1.33
EvertonChelsea
1.67Average goals (2nd half)2.33
EvertonChelsea
67%Clean sheet after half-time17%
EvertonChelsea
33%No goal after half-time33%
EvertonChelsea

Everton - second-half results

33% W67% D0% L
9
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Chelsea - second-half results

33% W17% D50% L
11
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.83
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Everton - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.41.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Chelsea - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.20
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.4
Average goals in match2.22.4
1 goal80%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%60%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Everton
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
1
61-75
3
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Chelsea
ScoredConceded
7
0
0-15
0
3
16-30
2
2
31-45
2
3
46-60
4
2
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
116%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
67%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Everton

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
62%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
38% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
38%

Chelsea

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.44
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.95
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.51
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
188%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
134%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 47% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premier League).

Teams vs league

EvertonLigaChelsea
Average goals in match▼ 2.172.95▲ 4.67
Both teams scored▼ 50%55%▲ 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 33%57%▲ 100%
Clean sheets▲ 50%27%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 50%58%▲ 83%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%83%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.95
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
57%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.33
Away goals / match
+22%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Everton 1 - 0 - 1 Chelsea. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Everton and Chelsea play?

Everton face Chelsea on 17 October 2026 in Premier League at Hill Dickinson Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Everton and Chelsea?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Everton won 1, Chelsea won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Everton vs Chelsea?

Everton score 1.33 goals per game on average and Chelsea 2.50. The Premier League average is 2.95 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 57% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Everton's matches and 83% of Chelsea's.

What form are Everton and Chelsea in?

Over the last 5 games Everton have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Chelsea 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Everton vs Chelsea?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.