Everton vs Crystal Palace: match statistics

Crystal Palace sit 8th, one place above Everton, and have collected 9 points from their last five matches, compared with the hosts’ 7 points. The visitors have won 3 of their last 5 games and scored 10 goals during that spell, 3 more than Everton, who recorded 2 victories. Everton have scored and conceded 7 goals in their last five appearances, indicating a relatively balanced but not entirely stable record. Crystal Palace have conceded an average of 1.8 goals per game over this run, so the hosts have a realistic chance of scoring; however, the visitors’ greater attacking efficiency points to a narrow victory for Crystal Palace.

Recent form clearly supports goals at both ends: Everton recorded BTTS in 80% of their five matches, while Crystal Palace did so in 60%. During this period, the hosts scored an average of 1.4 goals and conceded the same number, whereas the visitors scored 2.0 goals and conceded 1.8 per match. Crystal Palace created a high volume of chances, posting an average xG of 2.05, while Everton allowed opponents an xG of 1.55, strengthening the visitors’ chances of scoring. Everton have a lower attacking xG of 1.24, but Palace’s defence conceded 9 goals in their last five appearances, so the hosts should also find scoring opportunities. The most likely scenario is therefore BTTS - Yes, although the lack of complete season data limits confidence in the prediction.

Data from the last five matches points to a game with clear goal-scoring potential: Everton averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, while Crystal Palace scored 2.0 goals and conceded 1.8. Palace created an average of 2.05 xG per match during this period, while Everton allowed opponents 1.55 xG, supporting a forecast of approximately 1.75 away goals. Everton have lower attacking potential, recording 1.24 xG in their last five matches, while Palace’s defence allowed just 0.74 xG, which is why the hosts are projected to score around 1.05 goals. At least three goals were scored in 3 of Everton’s last 5 matches and in all 5 of Palace’s games, but the safest signal remains Over 1.5, as it requires only two goals with a projected total of 2.80 goals.

Data from the last five matches clearly suggest a stronger start for Everton: the hosts were leading at the break in 60% of their games, scoring an average of 0.8 goals before half-time and conceding just 0.2. Crystal Palace were less consistent before the break, as although they averaged 1.0 goal scored, they also conceded 1.2 goals and were level at half-time in 40% of their matches. After the interval, however, the advantage shifts to the visitors: Palace won the second half in 60% of their recent matches, scoring an average of 1.0 goal and conceding just 0.6, while Everton failed to win any second half and conceded 1.2 goals per game during that period. Therefore, the most likely scenario is that Everton capitalise on a strong first half, but Crystal Palace complete the turnaround and finish with the advantage.