Evesham United vs Chertsey Town: match statistics
The match promises to be extremely tight, justifying a draw prediction. Evesham United presents solid home form with a 46% home win rate and a +10 goal difference, though their recent form (1 win in 5 matches) raises concerns. Chertsey Town is in clearly better shape, earning 12 points in their last 5 matches (4 wins), although they share the identical win percentage (46%) on the road as the hosts do at home. A key factor is the visitors' advantage in average xG (1.59 vs 1.32 for the hosts), but also a higher percentage of away matches without scoring (31%). Considering the similar statistics of both teams in their respective conditions and the contrast between current form and historical results, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this duel.
Evesham United vs Chertsey Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Evesham United played Chertsey Town in Southern League Premier South (England). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Evesham United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Chertsey Town: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Evesham United scores 1.37 and concedes 1.37 goals per match. Chertsey Town scores 1.38 and concedes 1.04. League average: 3.18 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Evesham United 59%, Chertsey Town 42%. Over 2.5: Evesham United 52%, Chertsey Town 38%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Chertsey Town has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.22. Evesham United: 1.2 shots per match, Chertsey Town: 5.3.
Match halves
Evesham United: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.70. Chertsey Town: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Evesham United: 16-30 (8 goals). Chertsey Town: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Southern League Premier South: 3.18 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be extremely tight, justifying a draw prediction. Evesham United presents solid home form with a 46% home win rate and a +10 goal difference, though their recent form (1 win in 5 matches) raises concerns. Chertsey Town is in clearly better shape, earning 12 points in their last 5 matches (4 wins), although they share the identical win percentage (46%) on the road as the hosts do at home. A key factor is the visitors' advantage in average xG (1.59 vs 1.32 for the hosts), but also a higher percentage of away matches without scoring (31%). Considering the similar statistics of both teams in their respective conditions and the contrast between current form and historical results, a draw appears to be the most probable outcome of this duel.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Evesham United | Chertsey Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 6% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 1.03 | 0.28 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 19.57 | 0.66 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chertsey Town is 140% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Evesham United · 2.4 pts / match - Chertsey Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chertsey Town is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.37 goals / match - Evesham United · 1.04 goals / match - Chertsey Town
Evesham United scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Chertsey Town keeps a clean sheet in 38% (10 of 26 matches).
Chertsey Town scores in 73% of matches (19 of 26 matches), while Evesham United keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Evesham United
Over / Under - Chertsey Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chertsey Town is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Evesham United · 1.42 pts / match - Chertsey Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Evesham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Chertsey Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Evesham United
Chertsey Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Southern League Premier South).
Teams vs league
| Evesham United | Liga | Chertsey Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.74 | 3.18 | ▼ 2.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 61% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 61% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 21% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 74% | 77% | ▼ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 82% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Evesham United 0 - 0 - 1 Chertsey Town. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Evesham United vs Chertsey Town?
The Southern League Premier South match finished Evesham United 1:1 Chertsey Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Evesham United vs Chertsey Town?
Evesham United score 1.37 goals per game on average and Chertsey Town 1.38. The Southern League Premier South average is 3.18 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Evesham United's matches and 42% of Chertsey Town's.
What form are Evesham United and Chertsey Town in?
Over the last 5 games Evesham United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Chertsey Town 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Evesham United vs Chertsey Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Evesham United vs Chertsey Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.