Excelsior Virton vs Francs Borains: match statistics

Excelsior Virton are top of the table and have won all of their last 5 matches, scoring 13 goals and conceding just 3 during that run. At home, the hosts have won 100% of their matches so far, averaging 3 goals per game and still yet to concede, although their xG stands at 1.08, suggesting exceptionally high current finishing efficiency. Francs Borains create plenty of chances away from home, averaging 17 shots and recording an xG of 1.88, but convert just 12% of their attempts and have yet to keep a clean sheet. The visitors have suffered 2 defeats in their last 5 matches and conceded 8 goals, while their average away xG conceded is a high 1.91. Home advantage, the hosts’ winning run and their clearly more stable defence all point to an Excelsior Virton victory, although Francs Borains’ attacking potential could enable them to score.

The “No” pick is primarily supported by Excelsior Virton’s very solid recent form: the team has won its last 5 matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding just 0.6. BTTS occurred in only 20% of the hosts’ last five games, suggesting that their matches often end without the opposition scoring. Francs Borains have averaged 1.2 goals in their last 5 appearances, but their xG stands at 1.30, while the hosts allow opponents just 1.22 xG. Although the visitors have a 100% BTTS rate in the current seasonal sample, it is clearly less reliable than the current form trends, and Virton have conceded only 3 goals in total across their last 5 matches. The most likely scenario is therefore that at least one team—most notably Francs Borains—will fail to score. In other words, BTTS - No means that at least one team does not score; it does not automatically imply a 0-0 result or that neither team will score.

Excelsior Virton are in excellent form: they have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, averaging 2.6 per game, while conceding just 3. Over the same period, Francs Borains conceded an average of 1.6 goals, with an xG against of 1.56, strengthening the outlook for at least two goals from the hosts. Virton’s attacking potential is also reflected in their average xG of 1.61 across their last five appearances, while the visitors create chances worth an average of 1.30 xG. The league average is 2.93 goals per match, and 64% of games have gone Over 2.5 goals, meaning the 1.5 line is clearly below the typical scoring level. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as even with a limited contribution from the visitors, the hosts’ excellent attack gives them a high chance of scoring at least two goals.

Excelsior Virton are in excellent form, having won all of their last five matches, scoring an average of 2.6 goals and conceding just 0.6. The hosts held a lead at the break in 80% of those games, scored an average of 1.2 first-half goals and did not concede before half-time. Francs Borains failed to lead at half-time in any of their last five outings, while 80% of those matches were level at the break, with the visitors scoring just 0.2 goals before half-time. Virton maintain their advantage after the interval, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded in second halves, whereas the visitors concede 1.2 goals per match after the break. The strongest scenario is therefore a 1/1 HT/FT outcome, with the hosts leading at half-time and maintaining their advantage until the final whistle.