Excelsior vs Groningen: match statistics
Excelsior vs Groningen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Excelsior played Groningen in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Van Donge & De Roo Stadion. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
Excelsior: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Groningen: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Excelsior scores 2.14 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Groningen scores 2.14 and concedes 1.86. League average: 3.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Excelsior 71%, Groningen 86%. Over 2.5: Excelsior 100%, Groningen 86%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.
xG, shots and style
Groningen has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.31. Excelsior: 11.4 shots per match, Groningen: 15.0.
Match halves
Excelsior: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00. Groningen: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Excelsior: 31-45+ (5 goals). Groningen: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.70 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 72%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Excelsior are slight favourites: they have picked up 8 points in their last five matches, compared with Groningen’s 5. The hosts have conceded 7 goals in that period, while the visitors have let in 11, pointing to a clear difference in defensive performance. Away from home, Groningen concede an average of 2.33 goals, with opponents recording an xG of 2.17, so Excelsior should have opportunities to score. The visitors remain dangerous going forward, however, averaging 2 goals away from home compared with Excelsior’s 1.33 at home, although both teams create chances with the same average xG of 1.26. Groningen’s weaker defence tips the prediction in the hosts’ favour, but Excelsior’s 2 defeats in 3 home matches mean this is not a confident pick.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS landed in 75% of Excelsior’s home matches and 100% of Groningen’s away matches, with both teams scoring in every match in those samples. Excelsior average 2.25 goals at home, while Groningen concede 2.33 on the road, strongly supporting a goal for the hosts. The visitors also have good reason to score: they average 2.00 goals away from home, while Excelsior concede 1.50 at home. In the last 5 matches for both teams, BTTS landed in 80% of cases, with Excelsior conceding an average of 1.4 goals and Groningen 2.2. Therefore, a scenario in which both teams score is clearly more likely than BTTS - No, which means at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Excelsior average 2.25 goals scored, while Groningen concede 2.33, giving the hosts a strong platform to score multiple times. The visitors average 2.00 goals scored, while the hosts concede 1.50; additionally, both teams have scored in every match they have played so far. Excelsior’s last five matches averaged 3.4 goals, while Groningen’s averaged 4.0; Over 2.5 goals landed in 100% and 80% of those matches, respectively. Although the 3.90-goal projection also points towards higher lines, Over 1.5 has the strongest statistical backing: every match played by either team so far has featured at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Excelsior has the stronger case for victory: they average 2.25 goals compared with Groningen’s 2.00, while their xG stands at 1.96 against their opponents’ 1.26. A home lead at the break is a realistic possibility, as Excelsior led at half-time in 2 of their 4 home matches and conceded an average of 0.6 goals before the break across their last five games, compared with Groningen’s 1.4. However, the visitors led at the break in 2 of their 3 away matches, so the possibility of them gaining an early advantage should also be considered. The second half supports Excelsior either preserving or establishing a lead: Groningen concede an average of 1.33 goals after the break and lost the second half in 2 of their 3 away matches, while the hosts have not lost the second half in any of their 4 home games. The strongest individual HT/FT scenario therefore remains Excelsior leading at half-time and winning after 90 minutes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Excelsior | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Excelsior is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Excelsior · 1 pts / match - Groningen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Excelsior is 44% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Excelsior · 1.86 goals / match - Groningen
Excelsior scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Groningen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
Groningen scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Excelsior
Over / Under - Groningen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Groningen is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.57 pts / match - Excelsior · 1.86 pts / match - Groningen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Groningen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 43%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 2.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Excelsior
Groningen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Excelsior | Liga | Groningen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 3.43 | 3.70 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 69% | ▲ 86% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 72% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 16% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 89% | ▼ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Excelsior 1 - 0 - 1 Groningen. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Excelsior vs Groningen?
The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 1:5 Groningen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Excelsior and Groningen?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Excelsior won 1, Groningen won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs Groningen?
Excelsior score 2.14 goals per game on average and Groningen 2.14. The Eredivisie average is 3.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Excelsior's matches and 86% of Groningen's.
What form are Excelsior and Groningen in?
Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Groningen 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs Groningen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.