Excelsior vs Heerenveen: match statistics
Heerenveen is showing significantly better form than Excelsior, earning 1.8 points per game in their last five matches, while the hosts are achieving just 0.8 points. Excelsior occupies 15th place in the table with only 31% wins at home and an alarming record of 54% losses at their own stadium. Heerenveen demonstrates higher offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.5 goals away compared to just 1.0 goal for the hosts at home, and also possesses a better shot conversion rate (10% vs 8%). Additionally, xG For Heerenveen on the road (1.64) exceeds xG For Excelsior at home (1.37), confirming the qualitative advantage of the visitors. Heerenveen's recent form (lwwlw) with three victories in the last five matches strongly supports their success in this clash.
Excelsior vs Heerenveen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Excelsior play Heerenveen in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 7 March 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Excelsior: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Heerenveen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Excelsior scores 1.26 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. Heerenveen scores 1.69 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Excelsior 65%, Heerenveen 66%. Over 2.5: Excelsior 62%, Heerenveen 71%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
Heerenveen has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.39. Excelsior: 12.4 shots per match, Heerenveen: 14.9.
Match halves
Excelsior: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.65. Heerenveen: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Excelsior: 76-90+ (12 goals). Heerenveen: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Heerenveen is showing significantly better form than Excelsior, earning 1.8 points per game in their last five matches, while the hosts are achieving just 0.8 points. Excelsior occupies 15th place in the table with only 31% wins at home and an alarming record of 54% losses at their own stadium. Heerenveen demonstrates higher offensive efficiency, scoring an average of 1.5 goals away compared to just 1.0 goal for the hosts at home, and also possesses a better shot conversion rate (10% vs 8%). Additionally, xG For Heerenveen on the road (1.64) exceeds xG For Excelsior at home (1.37), confirming the qualitative advantage of the visitors. Heerenveen's recent form (lwwlw) with three victories in the last five matches strongly supports their success in this clash.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Excelsior | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Excelsior is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Excelsior · 1.4 pts / match - Heerenveen
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Heerenveen is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Excelsior · 1.69 goals / match - Heerenveen
Excelsior scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 35 matches).
Heerenveen scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Excelsior
Over / Under — Heerenveen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Heerenveen is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Excelsior · 1.43 pts / match - Heerenveen
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Excelsior
Heerenveen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Excelsior | Liga | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.91 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 62% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 20% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Excelsior 0 - 0 - 1 Heerenveen. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Excelsior vs Heerenveen?
The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 1:2 Heerenveen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs Heerenveen?
Excelsior score 1.26 goals per game on average and Heerenveen 1.69. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Excelsior's matches and 66% of Heerenveen's.
What form are Excelsior and Heerenveen in?
Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Heerenveen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs Heerenveen?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Excelsior vs Heerenveen: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.