Excelsior vs NAC Breda: match statistics
Excelsior vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Excelsior play NAC Breda in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 29 November 2025 at 16:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Excelsior: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. NAC Breda: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Excelsior scores 1.26 and concedes 1.65 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 1.03 and concedes 1.71. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Excelsior 65%, NAC Breda 47%. Over 2.5: Excelsior 62%, NAC Breda 50%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
NAC Breda has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.39. Excelsior: 12.4 shots per match, NAC Breda: 14.1.
Match halves
Excelsior: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.65. NAC Breda: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Excelsior: 76-90+ (12 goals). NAC Breda: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Excelsior | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Excelsior is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Excelsior · 1 pts / match - NAC Breda
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Excelsior is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Excelsior · 1.03 goals / match - NAC Breda
Excelsior scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
NAC Breda scores in 59% of matches (20 of 34 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Excelsior
Over / Under — NAC Breda
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Excelsior · 0.94 pts / match - NAC Breda
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
NAC Breda - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 18%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Excelsior
NAC Breda
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Excelsior | Liga | NAC Breda | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.91 | 3.17 | ▼ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 62% | 61% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 20% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▼ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 84% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Excelsior 1 - 0 - 0 NAC Breda. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Excelsior vs NAC Breda?
The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 1:0 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs NAC Breda?
Excelsior score 1.26 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.03. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Excelsior's matches and 47% of NAC Breda's.
What form are Excelsior and NAC Breda in?
Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and NAC Breda 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs NAC Breda?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Excelsior vs NAC Breda: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.