Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Excelsior played PEC Zwolle in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 20 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Excelsior: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. PEC Zwolle: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Excelsior scores 0.93 and concedes 1.73 goals per match. PEC Zwolle scores 1.25 and concedes 2.25. League average: 3.28 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Excelsior 53%, PEC Zwolle 56%. Over 2.5: Excelsior 60%, PEC Zwolle 63%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Excelsior has higher xG: 1.34 vs 0.97. Excelsior: 12.1 shots per match, PEC Zwolle: 8.4.

Match halves

Excelsior: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33. PEC Zwolle: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.50.

Goals by minute

Excelsior: 0-15 (6 goals). PEC Zwolle: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eredivisie: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

48Possession (%)52
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
13Shots9
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
4Shots on target3
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.39xG1.11
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
3Corners1
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
40Dangerous attacks45
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
13Fouls7
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1Cards1
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
0.93Goals scored / match1.25
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.73Goals conceded / match2.25
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
44%Average possession41%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
4.27Shots on target / match2.94
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.07Shots per match8.44
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
4.27Shots on target2.94
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
7.7%Shot conversion14.8%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
44%Possession41%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.34xG for0.97
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.95xG against2.08
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Shooting quality

Excelsior: BalancedPEC Zwolle: Counter-attacking
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
Accuracy (shots on target)35%35%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.43

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

PEC Zwolle is 43% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Excelsior · 2 pts / match - PEC Zwolle

Excelsior
DLWWL
Season result split
33% W7% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-1-9
1.07 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-0-5
Last 5 at home
2-0-3
LWLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.92BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
PEC Zwolle
WDWLW
Season result split
31% W25% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-7
1.19 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-3-4
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 0.97Opponent xG: 2.34BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

PEC Zwolle is 34% better for: goals scored per match.

0.93 goals / match - Excelsior · 1.25 goals / match - PEC Zwolle

Excelsior is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.73 goals / match - Excelsior · 2.25 goals / match - PEC Zwolle

Excelsior scoring profile: very strong

Excelsior scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while PEC Zwolle keeps a clean sheet in 25% (4 of 16 matches).

PEC Zwolle scoring profile: very strong

PEC Zwolle scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 20% (3 of 15 matches).

14Goals scored (season)20
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
26Goals conceded (season)36
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
2.67Average goals in match3.5
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
6Goals scored (last 5)7
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
7Goals conceded (last 5)9
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal81%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
20%2 goals44%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
0%3 goals0%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
0%4 goals0%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal75%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
60%2 goals69%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
13%3 goals25%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
13%4 goals19%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

61%
League average

Goal patterns

27%BTTS at half-time44%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
0%BTTS in both halves19%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
20%Scored in both halves38%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

BTTS and goal count

53%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
60%BTTS - last 560%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time94%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time69%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time31%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time69%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time44%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Excelsior is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Excelsior · 1.19 pts / match - PEC Zwolle

Excelsior - half-time state
33% leading40% draw27% trailing
PEC Zwolle - half-time state
31% leading25% draw44% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)1.19
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0.75
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)1.38
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.2Average goals (1st half)2.13
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
60%Clean sheet before half-time31%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
40%No goal before half-time31%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

After half-time (2nd half)

0.87Points per match (2nd half)1.06
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.5
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.13Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
1.47Average goals (2nd half)1.38
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
40%Clean sheet after half-time50%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle
67%No goal after half-time50%
ExcelsiorPEC Zwolle

Excelsior - second-half results

20% W27% D53% L
21
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-12
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

PEC Zwolle - second-half results

19% W50% D31% L
19
Half-time points
12
Half-time goals
-10
Goal difference (1st half)
17
Second-half points
-6
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.5

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Excelsior - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-3
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
PEC Zwolle - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match1.00.4
Goals conceded / match1.20.6
Average goals in match2.21.0
1 goal100%40%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference-1-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Excelsior
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
1
6
46-60
0
5
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

PEC Zwolle
ScoredConceded
5
2
0-15
1
6
16-30
6
14
31-45
4
5
46-60
3
2
61-75
1
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.08
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
55%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
59%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Excelsior

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+5.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
51%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
118%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 43% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

PEC Zwolle

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-1.11
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+7.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
85%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
124%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.81
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
5% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
5%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).

Teams vs league

ExcelsiorLigaPEC Zwolle
Average goals in match 2.673.28 3.50
Both teams scored 53%61% 56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%63% 63%
Clean sheets 20%20% 25%
Goal before half-time 73%86% 94%
Goal after half-time 80%85% 69%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.28
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.81
Home goals / match
1.47
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PEC ZwolleSubstitutionOn: Jan FaberskiOff: Tristan Gooijer
  2. PEC ZwolleSubstitutionOn: Dylan MbayoOff: Kaj de Rooij
  3. PEC ZwolleGoalRyan ThomasAssist: Sherel Floranus
  4. PEC ZwolleYellow cardRyan Thomas
  5. ExcelsiorSubstitutionOn: Szymon WłodarczykOff: Jerolldino Armantrading
  6. PEC ZwolleSubstitutionOn: Nick FichtingerOff: Thijs Oosting
  7. ExcelsiorSubstitutionOn: Lewis SchoutenOff: Lennard Hartjes
  8. ExcelsiorYellow cardArthur Zagre
  9. PEC ZwolleSubstitutionOn: Gabriël ReizigerOff: Simon Graves Jensen
  10. ExcelsiorSubstitutionOn: Mike van DuinenOff: Derensili Sanches Fernandes

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Sander van der EijkMatches officiated: 17
3.71Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 265%Home wins18%Draws18%Away wins

FAQ

What was the result of Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle?

The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 2:1 PEC Zwolle. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle?

Excelsior score 0.93 goals per game on average and PEC Zwolle 1.25. The Eredivisie average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Excelsior's matches and 56% of PEC Zwolle's.

What form are Excelsior and PEC Zwolle in?

Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and PEC Zwolle 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Excelsior vs PEC Zwolle: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.