Excelsior vs Telstar: match statistics
The analysis suggests very even chances for both teams. Excelsior display better home form with a 44% win rate, recently securing 3 wins in 5 matches, yielding 1.8 points per match. Despite a lower league position (15th place), Telstar show a significant improvement in form with 2.0 points per match in their last 5 outings and three wins. A key factor is Telstar's high away draw rate (25%) and their solid defense, boasting 38% clean sheets. The xG statistics for both teams are close (Excelsior 1.30 vs Telstar 1.21), confirming the comparable quality of play. Considering the poor scoring efficiency of both sides and their similar goal difference (-2 vs -3), the most probable scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts.
Excelsior vs Telstar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Excelsior played Telstar in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 17 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Excelsior: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Telstar: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Excelsior scores 1.00 and concedes 1.88 goals per match. Telstar scores 1.22 and concedes 1.67. League average: 3.25 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Excelsior 59%, Telstar 61%. Over 2.5: Excelsior 65%, Telstar 50%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
xG, shots and style
Telstar has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.32. Excelsior: 11.9 shots per match, Telstar: 12.8.
Match halves
Excelsior: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.35. Telstar: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Excelsior: 0-15 (6 goals). Telstar: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.25 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 62%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The analysis suggests very even chances for both teams. Excelsior display better home form with a 44% win rate, recently securing 3 wins in 5 matches, yielding 1.8 points per match. Despite a lower league position (15th place), Telstar show a significant improvement in form with 2.0 points per match in their last 5 outings and three wins. A key factor is Telstar's high away draw rate (25%) and their solid defense, boasting 38% clean sheets. The xG statistics for both teams are close (Excelsior 1.30 vs Telstar 1.21), confirming the comparable quality of play. Considering the poor scoring efficiency of both sides and their similar goal difference (-2 vs -3), the most probable scenario is a draw or a narrow victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Excelsior | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Excelsior is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Excelsior · 1 pts / match - Telstar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Telstar is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Excelsior · 1.22 goals / match - Telstar
Telstar is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.88 goals / match - Excelsior · 1.67 goals / match - Telstar
Excelsior scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Telstar keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Telstar scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 18% (3 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Excelsior
Over / Under - Telstar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Excelsior is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Excelsior · 1 pts / match - Telstar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Telstar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Excelsior
Telstar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| Excelsior | Liga | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.88 | 3.25 | ▼ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 62% | • 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 62% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | • 18% | 19% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 85% | ▼ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 82% | 85% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Excelsior 0 - 1 - 0 Telstar. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Excelsior vs Telstar?
The Eredivisie match finished Excelsior 2:2 Telstar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Excelsior vs Telstar?
Excelsior score 1.00 goals per game on average and Telstar 1.22. The Eredivisie average is 3.25 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 62% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Excelsior's matches and 61% of Telstar's.
What form are Excelsior and Telstar in?
Over the last 5 games Excelsior have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Telstar 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Excelsior vs Telstar?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.