Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers: match statistics
Exeter City presents solid home form with a 47% win rate and a positive goal difference (+8) at their own stadium, averaging 1.4 goals with an xG of 1.5. Bolton Wanderers, despite being third in the table, has a weaker away disposition (24% win rate, -6 goal difference), although their recent form is good (1.8 points per game). The hosts maintain high possession (55%) and shot efficiency (11%), which may cause problems for the visitors. Bolton is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (47%), which, combined with the balanced xG stats of both teams (1.5 vs 1.6), suggests a difficult-to-predict, tight match. Taking into account Exeter's home advantage and Bolton's tendency to draw on the road, a sharing of points is the most likely scenario.
Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Exeter City played Bolton Wanderers in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:5.
Current form
Exeter City: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Bolton Wanderers: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Exeter City scores 1.16 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Bolton Wanderers scores 1.32 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Exeter City 38%, Bolton Wanderers 59%. Over 2.5: Exeter City 41%, Bolton Wanderers 41%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Bolton Wanderers has higher xG: 1.81 vs 1.23. Exeter City: 10.6 shots per match, Bolton Wanderers: 16.6.
Match halves
Exeter City: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75. Bolton Wanderers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.82.
Goals by minute
Exeter City: 46-60 (10 goals). Bolton Wanderers: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Exeter City presents solid home form with a 47% win rate and a positive goal difference (+8) at their own stadium, averaging 1.4 goals with an xG of 1.5. Bolton Wanderers, despite being third in the table, has a weaker away disposition (24% win rate, -6 goal difference), although their recent form is good (1.8 points per game). The hosts maintain high possession (55%) and shot efficiency (11%), which may cause problems for the visitors. Bolton is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (47%), which, combined with the balanced xG stats of both teams (1.5 vs 1.6), suggests a difficult-to-predict, tight match. Taking into account Exeter's home advantage and Bolton's tendency to draw on the road, a sharing of points is the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Exeter City | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bolton Wanderers is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Exeter City · 1.8 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bolton Wanderers is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.16 goals / match - Exeter City · 1.32 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Bolton Wanderers is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Exeter City · 0.97 goals / match - Bolton Wanderers
Exeter City scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while Bolton Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).
Bolton Wanderers scores in 79% of matches (27 of 34 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Exeter City
Over / Under - Bolton Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bolton Wanderers is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.13 pts / match - Exeter City · 1.26 pts / match - Bolton Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bolton Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Exeter City
Bolton Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Exeter City | Liga | Bolton Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 52% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 70% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 81% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Exeter City 0 - 0 - 1 Bolton Wanderers. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers?
The EFL League One match finished Exeter City 1:5 Bolton Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers?
Exeter City score 1.16 goals per game on average and Bolton Wanderers 1.32. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Exeter City's matches and 59% of Bolton Wanderers's.
What form are Exeter City and Bolton Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Exeter City have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Bolton Wanderers 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Exeter City vs Bolton Wanderers: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.