Exeter City vs Burton Albion: match statistics
Exeter City demonstrates significantly better home form with a 44% win rate and an impressive +4 goal difference at their home stadium. The hosts record an average of 1.38 goals per match at home while conceding just 1.13, and their 44% clean sheet rate confirms defensive solidity. Burton Albion struggles away with only an 18% win rate, a negative -10 record, and a high average of goals conceded (1.59 per match). Exeter also dominates in xG statistics (1.48 vs 1.25) and possession (55% vs 42%), indicating greater game control. Recent form for both teams is level, yet home advantage and significantly better home match statistics point towards a victory for the hosts.
Exeter City vs Burton Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Exeter City played Burton Albion in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 3 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Exeter City: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Burton Albion: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Exeter City scores 1.15 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Burton Albion scores 1.12 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Exeter City 39%, Burton Albion 44%. Over 2.5: Exeter City 42%, Burton Albion 59%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Burton Albion has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.23. Exeter City: 10.6 shots per match, Burton Albion: 11.5.
Match halves
Exeter City: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76. Burton Albion: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Exeter City: 46-60 (10 goals). Burton Albion: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Exeter City demonstrates significantly better home form with a 44% win rate and an impressive +4 goal difference at their home stadium. The hosts record an average of 1.38 goals per match at home while conceding just 1.13, and their 44% clean sheet rate confirms defensive solidity. Burton Albion struggles away with only an 18% win rate, a negative -10 record, and a high average of goals conceded (1.59 per match). Exeter also dominates in xG statistics (1.48 vs 1.25) and possession (55% vs 42%), indicating greater game control. Recent form for both teams is level, yet home advantage and significantly better home match statistics point towards a victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Exeter City | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Burton Albion is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Exeter City · 1.6 pts / match - Burton Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Exeter City is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Exeter City · 1.44 goals / match - Burton Albion
Exeter City scores in 67% of matches (22 of 33 matches), while Burton Albion keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
Burton Albion scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (11 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Exeter City
Over / Under - Burton Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Burton Albion is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.09 pts / match - Exeter City · 1.18 pts / match - Burton Albion
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Burton Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Exeter City
Burton Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Exeter City | Liga | Burton Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.63 | • 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 52% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 73% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 81% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Exeter City vs Burton Albion?
The EFL League One match finished Exeter City 1:1 Burton Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Exeter City vs Burton Albion?
Exeter City score 1.15 goals per game on average and Burton Albion 1.12. The EFL League One average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Exeter City's matches and 44% of Burton Albion's.
What form are Exeter City and Burton Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Exeter City have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Burton Albion 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Exeter City vs Burton Albion?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.