Exeter City vs Lincoln City: match statistics
Lincoln City, as the undisputed league leader (1st place) with an impressive record of 22 wins this season, presents a clear advantage over Exeter City (15th place). The visitors exhibit excellent form, scoring 13 goals in their last 5 matches with only 1 goal conceded, translating to 2.6 points per game. Lincoln boasts a 53% away win rate and 47% clean sheets, a testament to their defensive solidity. Exeter, conversely, is going through a crisis – 0 wins in their last 5 matches and only 0.6 points per game, which even with their home strategy might not be enough against such a determined leader. The difference in goal quality (65:31 for Lincoln vs 40:42 for Exeter) and the advantage in shot conversion (15% vs 11%) further speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all statistical factors into account, a Lincoln City victory is the most probable scenario for this match.
Exeter City vs Lincoln City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Exeter City played Lincoln City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 10 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Exeter City: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Lincoln City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Exeter City scores 1.14 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Lincoln City scores 1.86 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Exeter City 43%, Lincoln City 49%. Over 2.5: Exeter City 43%, Lincoln City 51%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Lincoln City has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.23. Exeter City: 10.7 shots per match, Lincoln City: 12.0.
Match halves
Exeter City: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77. Lincoln City: half-time lead 66%, second-half goals 0.94.
Goals by minute
Exeter City: 46-60 (10 goals). Lincoln City: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Lincoln City, as the undisputed league leader (1st place) with an impressive record of 22 wins this season, presents a clear advantage over Exeter City (15th place). The visitors exhibit excellent form, scoring 13 goals in their last 5 matches with only 1 goal conceded, translating to 2.6 points per game. Lincoln boasts a 53% away win rate and 47% clean sheets, a testament to their defensive solidity. Exeter, conversely, is going through a crisis – 0 wins in their last 5 matches and only 0.6 points per game, which even with their home strategy might not be enough against such a determined leader. The difference in goal quality (65:31 for Lincoln vs 40:42 for Exeter) and the advantage in shot conversion (15% vs 11%) further speak in favor of the visitors. Taking all statistical factors into account, a Lincoln City victory is the most probable scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Exeter City | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lincoln City is 333% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Exeter City · 2.6 pts / match - Lincoln City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Lincoln City is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Exeter City · 1.86 goals / match - Lincoln City
Lincoln City is 35% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Exeter City · 0.89 goals / match - Lincoln City
Exeter City scores in 69% of matches (24 of 35 matches), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 40% (14 of 35 matches).
Lincoln City scores in 86% of matches (30 of 35 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 31% (11 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Exeter City
Over / Under - Lincoln City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lincoln City is 110% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Exeter City · 2.23 pts / match - Lincoln City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lincoln City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 66% of matches and wins 63%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Exeter City
Lincoln City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Exeter City | Liga | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.34 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.74 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▼ 49% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 51% | • 51% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 27% | ▲ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Exeter City 1 - 0 - 0 Lincoln City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Exeter City vs Lincoln City?
The EFL League One match finished Exeter City 0:1 Lincoln City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Exeter City vs Lincoln City?
Exeter City score 1.14 goals per game on average and Lincoln City 1.86. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Exeter City's matches and 49% of Lincoln City's.
What form are Exeter City and Lincoln City in?
Over the last 5 games Exeter City have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Lincoln City 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Exeter City vs Lincoln City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.