Exeter City vs Northampton Town: match statistics
Exeter City displays significantly better home form with a 54% win rate and an impressive +8 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.54 goals scored per home game while conceding just 0.92, which, combined with a 46% clean sheet rate, points to a solid defense. Northampton Town has serious problems in away matches, losing a full 60% of their games, scoring on average only 0.8 goals while conceding 1.6 (goal difference -12). The visitors are further burdened by a 47% rate of away games without scoring and a poor shots on target average (2.73). The recent form of both teams (Exeter: wwdld, Northampton: lldww) indicates a slight advantage for the hosts, who have shown greater stability in their last five home matches. Considering all statistics, especially the xG advantage (1.43 vs 1.1) and the clear disparity in home/away effectiveness, Exeter City has a realistic chance of securing all three points.
Exeter City vs Northampton Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Exeter City played Northampton Town in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 14 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Exeter City: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Northampton Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Exeter City scores 1.14 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Northampton Town scores 0.97 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Exeter City 34%, Northampton Town 43%. Over 2.5: Exeter City 41%, Northampton Town 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Exeter City has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.15. Exeter City: 10.1 shots per match, Northampton Town: 9.4.
Match halves
Exeter City: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.69. Northampton Town: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Exeter City: 76-90+ (8 goals). Northampton Town: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Exeter City displays significantly better home form with a 54% win rate and an impressive +8 goal difference at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.54 goals scored per home game while conceding just 0.92, which, combined with a 46% clean sheet rate, points to a solid defense. Northampton Town has serious problems in away matches, losing a full 60% of their games, scoring on average only 0.8 goals while conceding 1.6 (goal difference -12). The visitors are further burdened by a 47% rate of away games without scoring and a poor shots on target average (2.73). The recent form of both teams (Exeter: wwdld, Northampton: lldww) indicates a slight advantage for the hosts, who have shown greater stability in their last five home matches. Considering all statistics, especially the xG advantage (1.43 vs 1.1) and the clear disparity in home/away effectiveness, Exeter City has a realistic chance of securing all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Exeter City | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Exeter City is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Exeter City · 0.8 pts / match - Northampton Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Exeter City is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.14 goals / match - Exeter City · 0.97 goals / match - Northampton Town
Exeter City is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Exeter City · 1.3 goals / match - Northampton Town
Exeter City scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Northampton Town keeps a clean sheet in 30% (9 of 30 matches).
Northampton Town scores in 60% of matches (18 of 30 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Exeter City
Over / Under - Northampton Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Exeter City is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Exeter City · 0.93 pts / match - Northampton Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Northampton Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Exeter City
Northampton Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Exeter City | Liga | Northampton Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.58 | ▼ 2.27 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 34% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 50% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 81% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Exeter City 0 - 0 - 1 Northampton Town. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Exeter City vs Northampton Town?
The EFL League One match finished Exeter City 0:0 Northampton Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Exeter City vs Northampton Town?
Exeter City score 1.14 goals per game on average and Northampton Town 0.97. The EFL League One average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 34% of Exeter City's matches and 43% of Northampton Town's.
What form are Exeter City and Northampton Town in?
Over the last 5 games Exeter City have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Northampton Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Exeter City vs Northampton Town?
The statistical background for Exeter City vs Northampton Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.