Exeter City vs Rotherham United: match statistics
Exeter City displays significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive +12 goal difference at their home ground. The hosts have won 4 out of their last 5 home matches, confirming their solidity in front of their own crowd. Rotherham United is in 23rd place, second from bottom in the table, and has a disastrous away record - just a 15% win rate and a -12 goal difference. The visitors have lost all of their last 5 away matches, further highlighting their problems playing on the road. Exeter holds the advantage in all key statistics: more shots on target (4.5 vs 2.23), a higher chance conversion rate (14% vs 8%), better ball possession (53% vs 41%), and a significantly higher xG (1.44 vs 1.0). Given such a large disparity in form and quality of play, a home victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
Exeter City vs Rotherham United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Exeter City played Rotherham United in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Exeter City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Rotherham United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Exeter City scores 1.22 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Rotherham United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Exeter City 37%, Rotherham United 52%. Over 2.5: Exeter City 41%, Rotherham United 56%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Exeter City: 10.1 shots per match, Rotherham United: 10.3.
Match halves
Exeter City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.74. Rotherham United: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
Exeter City: 76-90+ (8 goals). Rotherham United: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Exeter City displays significantly better home form with a 58% win rate and an impressive +12 goal difference at their home ground. The hosts have won 4 out of their last 5 home matches, confirming their solidity in front of their own crowd. Rotherham United is in 23rd place, second from bottom in the table, and has a disastrous away record - just a 15% win rate and a -12 goal difference. The visitors have lost all of their last 5 away matches, further highlighting their problems playing on the road. Exeter holds the advantage in all key statistics: more shots on target (4.5 vs 2.23), a higher chance conversion rate (14% vs 8%), better ball possession (53% vs 41%), and a significantly higher xG (1.44 vs 1.0). Given such a large disparity in form and quality of play, a home victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Exeter City | Rotherham United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Exeter City is 175% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Exeter City · 0.8 pts / match - Rotherham United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Exeter City is 22% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Exeter City · 1 goals / match - Rotherham United
Exeter City is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.96 goals / match - Exeter City · 1.48 goals / match - Rotherham United
Exeter City scores in 70% of matches (19 of 27 matches), while Rotherham United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).
Rotherham United scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 33% (9 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Exeter City
Over / Under - Rotherham United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Exeter City is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.26 pts / match - Exeter City · 1.07 pts / match - Rotherham United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Rotherham United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Exeter City
Rotherham United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Exeter City | Liga | Rotherham United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.19 | 2.54 | • 2.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 50% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▲ 56% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 68% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 81% | • 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Exeter City 0 - 0 - 1 Rotherham United. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Exeter City vs Rotherham United?
The EFL League One match finished Exeter City 0:4 Rotherham United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Exeter City vs Rotherham United?
Exeter City score 1.22 goals per game on average and Rotherham United 1.00. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Exeter City's matches and 52% of Rotherham United's.
What form are Exeter City and Rotherham United in?
Over the last 5 games Exeter City have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Rotherham United 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Exeter City vs Rotherham United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Exeter City vs Rotherham United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.