Express vs Calvary: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Express played Calvary in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match was played on 3 December 2025. Final score: 4:0.

Current form

Express: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Calvary: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Express scores 0.88 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Calvary scores 0.71 and concedes 2.14. League average: 2.47 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Express 38%, Calvary 43%. Over 2.5: Express 38%, Calvary 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Express has higher xG: 1.22 vs 1.04. Express: 8.4 shots per match, Calvary: 4.7.

Match halves

Express: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.38. Calvary: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.29.

Goals by minute

Express: 0-15 (2 goals). Calvary: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
3 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

-1Possession (%)-1
ExpressCalvary
-1Shots-1
ExpressCalvary
-1Shots on target-1
ExpressCalvary
0xG0
ExpressCalvary
-1Corners-1
ExpressCalvary
0Dangerous attacks0
ExpressCalvary
-1Fouls-1
ExpressCalvary
-1Cards-1
ExpressCalvary

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.88Goals scored / match0.71
ExpressCalvary
1Goals conceded / match2.14
ExpressCalvary
47%Average possession29%
ExpressCalvary
4Shots on target / match1.14
ExpressCalvary

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

8.38Shots per match4.71
ExpressCalvary
4Shots on target1.14
ExpressCalvary
10.4%Shot conversion15.2%
ExpressCalvary
47%Possession29%
ExpressCalvary
1.22xG for1.04
ExpressCalvary
1.64xG against1.65
ExpressCalvary

Shooting quality

Express: BalancedCalvary: Counter-attacking
ExpressCalvary
Accuracy (shots on target)48%24%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.22
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.220.62

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Express is 400% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Express · 0.2 pts / match - Calvary

Express
LDWDL
Season result split
25% W38% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-3
1.13 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Last 5 at home
2-0-2
WLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%
Calvary
DLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W14% D86% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-1-6
0.14 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.86Opponent xG: 1.66BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Express is 24% better for: goals scored per match.

0.88 goals / match - Express · 0.71 goals / match - Calvary

Express is 114% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Express · 2.14 goals / match - Calvary

Express scoring profile: strong

Express scores in 50% of matches (4 of 8 matches), while Calvary keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

Calvary scoring profile: mixed

Calvary scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

7Goals scored (season)5
ExpressCalvary
8Goals conceded (season)15
ExpressCalvary
1.88Average goals in match2.86
ExpressCalvary
4Goals scored (last 5)4
ExpressCalvary
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
ExpressCalvary

How often they score at least...

50%1 goal43%
ExpressCalvary
13%2 goals29%
ExpressCalvary
13%3 goals0%
ExpressCalvary
13%4 goals0%
ExpressCalvary

How often they concede at least...

63%1 goal86%
ExpressCalvary
25%2 goals57%
ExpressCalvary
13%3 goals43%
ExpressCalvary
0%4 goals29%
ExpressCalvary

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time14%
ExpressCalvary
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ExpressCalvary
13%Scored in both halves0%
ExpressCalvary

BTTS and goal count

25%Min. 3 goals and BTTS43%
ExpressCalvary
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ExpressCalvary
20%BTTS - last 540%
ExpressCalvary

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time57%
ExpressCalvary
25%Min. 2 goals before half-time43%
ExpressCalvary
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
ExpressCalvary

2nd half

63%Min. 1 goal after half-time43%
ExpressCalvary
25%Min. 2 goals after half-time14%
ExpressCalvary
13%Min. 3 goals after half-time14%
ExpressCalvary

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Express is 191% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.25 pts / match - Express · 0.43 pts / match - Calvary

Express - half-time state
25% leading50% draw25% trailing
Calvary - half-time state
0% leading43% draw57% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.25Points per match (1st half)0.43
ExpressCalvary
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.14
ExpressCalvary
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)1.14
ExpressCalvary
0.88Average goals (1st half)1.29
ExpressCalvary
63%Clean sheet before half-time43%
ExpressCalvary
63%No goal before half-time86%
ExpressCalvary

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per match (2nd half)1
ExpressCalvary
0.38Goals scored (2nd half)0.29
ExpressCalvary
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.43
ExpressCalvary
1Average goals (2nd half)0.71
ExpressCalvary
50%Clean sheet after half-time57%
ExpressCalvary
75%No goal after half-time86%
ExpressCalvary

Express - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L
10
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.25
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Calvary - second-half results

14% W57% D29% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.43
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Express - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match0.61.2
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 2
Calvary - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match0.80.8
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-40
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Express
ScoredConceded
2
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
0
46-60
2
3
61-75
0
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Calvary
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
2
31-45
1
0
46-60
1
2
61-75
0
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.37
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
96%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
22%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
28%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Express

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.42
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
61%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
98%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

Calvary

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.61
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.82
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.49
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
70%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
148%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 60% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

ExpressLigaCalvary
Average goals in match 1.882.47 2.86
Both teams scored 38%52% 43%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 38%45% 43%
Clean sheets 38%30% 14%
Goal before half-time 63%58% 57%
Goal after half-time 63%59% 43%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.47
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.02
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
58%
1 goal
36%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Other recorded players

Richard Basangwa⚽ 1

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. ExpressGoalRichard Basangwa

FAQ

What was the result of Express vs Calvary?

The Uganda Premier League match finished Express 4:0 Calvary. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Express vs Calvary?

Express score 0.88 goals per game on average and Calvary 0.71. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Express's matches and 43% of Calvary's.

What form are Express and Calvary in?

Over the last 5 games Express have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Calvary 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Express vs Calvary?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.