Express vs Kitara: match statistics
Express vs Kitara: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Express play Kitara in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 12 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
Express: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Kitara: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Express scores 0.93 and concedes 1.03 goals per match. Kitara scores 1.38 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.09 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Express 30%, Kitara 38%. Over 2.5: Express 37%, Kitara 31%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
xG, shots and style
Kitara has higher xG: 1.65 vs 1.30. Express: 8.7 shots per match, Kitara: 11.3.
Match halves
Express: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50. Kitara: half-time lead 55%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Express: 16-30 (7 goals). Kitara: 0-15 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Uganda Premier League: 2.09 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
I predict an away win (Kitara). Kitara has 16 wins this season vs Express’s 8 and sits 3rd compared to Express’s 10th, indicating a clear overall advantage. Away, Kitara concedes on average 0.69 goals and records an average xG of 1.58, while Express at home concedes 0.92 goals and has xG 1.31, so the visitors are creating qualitatively better chances. In the last 5 matches both teams scored 4 goals, but Kitara conceded only 2 compared to Express’s 4 and averages 1.6 points per game vs the home side’s 1.4, which confirms the visitors’ superior defensive form. Express has a higher home finishing rate (14% conversion vs 9% for Kitara) and averages 1.46 goals per game, but a high share of home matches without a goal (46% vs 38%) reduces their consistency, so I favor a Kitara win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Express | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Express is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Express · 1 pts / match - Kitara
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kitara is 48% better for: goals scored per match.
0.93 goals / match - Express · 1.38 goals / match - Kitara
Kitara is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.03 goals / match - Express · 0.72 goals / match - Kitara
Express scores in 43% of matches (13 of 30 matches), while Kitara keeps a clean sheet in 45% (13 of 29 matches).
Kitara scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 40% (12 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Express
Over / Under — Kitara
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kitara is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Express · 1.93 pts / match - Kitara
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Express - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Kitara - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 55% of matches and wins 55%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Express
Kitara
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Express | Liga | Kitara | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.97 | 2.09 | • 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 38% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 37% | 35% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | • 40% | 39% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▼ 55% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Express 0 - 0 - 1 Kitara. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Express vs Kitara?
The Uganda Premier League match finished Express 3:2 Kitara. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Express vs Kitara?
Express score 0.93 goals per game on average and Kitara 1.38. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.09 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Express's matches and 38% of Kitara's.
What form are Express and Kitara in?
Over the last 5 games Express have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Kitara 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Express vs Kitara?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.