Uganda - Uganda Premier LeagueMutesa II Wankulukuku StadiumData current as of 13 October 2026

Express vs UPDF: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Express vs UPDF: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Express play UPDF in Uganda Premier League (Uganda). The match date is 15 October 2026. Venue: Mutesa II Wankulukuku Stadium.

Current form

Express: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. UPDF: 1-2-1, 1.25 points/match.

Goal statistics

Express scores 0.60 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. UPDF scores 0.50 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.05 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Express 20%, UPDF 25%. Over 2.5: Express 0%, UPDF 25%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 40%.

xG, shots and style

Express has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.25. Express: 10.4 shots per match, UPDF: 6.8.

Match halves

Express: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.40. UPDF: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Express: 31-45+ (1 goals). UPDF: 16-30 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Uganda Premier League: 2.05 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 40%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.6Goals scored / match0.5
ExpressUPDF
0.8Goals conceded / match0.5
ExpressUPDF
54%Average possession46%
ExpressUPDF
3.4Shots on target / match3.25
ExpressUPDF

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.4Shots per match6.75
ExpressUPDF
3.4Shots on target3.25
ExpressUPDF
5.8%Shot conversion7.4%
ExpressUPDF
54%Possession46%
ExpressUPDF
1.44xG for1.25
ExpressUPDF
1.44xG against1.2
ExpressUPDF

Shooting quality

Express: BalancedUPDF: Balanced
ExpressUPDF
Accuracy (shots on target)33%48%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.19
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.180.15

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

UPDF is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Express · 1.25 pts / match - UPDF

Express
LWLDD
Season result split
20% W40% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.44Opponent xG: 1.44BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
UPDF
DLDW
Season result split
25% W50% D25% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-1
1.25 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
LD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.5Goals conceded: 0.5xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 25%Over 2.5: 25%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Express is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

0.6 goals / match - Express · 0.5 goals / match - UPDF

UPDF is 60% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.8 goals / match - Express · 0.5 goals / match - UPDF

Express scoring profile: more difficult

Express scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while UPDF keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).

UPDF scoring profile: mixed

UPDF scores in 50% of matches (2 of 4 matches), while Express keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

3Goals scored (season)2
ExpressUPDF
4Goals conceded (season)2
ExpressUPDF
1.4Average goals in match1
ExpressUPDF
3Goals scored (last 5)2
ExpressUPDF
4Goals conceded (last 5)2
ExpressUPDF

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal50%
ExpressUPDF
20%2 goals0%
ExpressUPDF
0%3 goals0%
ExpressUPDF
0%4 goals0%
ExpressUPDF

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal25%
ExpressUPDF
20%2 goals25%
ExpressUPDF
0%3 goals0%
ExpressUPDF
0%4 goals0%
ExpressUPDF

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time25%
ExpressUPDF
0%BTTS in both halves0%
ExpressUPDF
0%Scored in both halves0%
ExpressUPDF

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
ExpressUPDF
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
ExpressUPDF
20%BTTS - last 525%
ExpressUPDF

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

60%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
ExpressUPDF
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
ExpressUPDF
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
ExpressUPDF

2nd half

40%Min. 1 goal after half-time25%
ExpressUPDF
20%Min. 2 goals after half-time0%
ExpressUPDF
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
ExpressUPDF

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

UPDF is 150% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.6 pts / match - Express · 1.5 pts / match - UPDF

Express - half-time state
0% leading60% draw40% trailing
UPDF - half-time state
25% leading75% draw0% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.6Points per match (1st half)1.5
ExpressUPDF
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.5
ExpressUPDF
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.25
ExpressUPDF
0.8Average goals (1st half)0.75
ExpressUPDF
40%Clean sheet before half-time75%
ExpressUPDF
80%No goal before half-time50%
ExpressUPDF

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)0.75
ExpressUPDF
0.4Goals scored (2nd half)0
ExpressUPDF
0.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.25
ExpressUPDF
0.6Average goals (2nd half)0.25
ExpressUPDF
80%Clean sheet after half-time75%
ExpressUPDF
80%No goal after half-time100%
ExpressUPDF

Express - second-half results

20% W60% D20% L
3
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.60
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

UPDF - second-half results

0% W75% D25% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
3
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.50
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Express - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal60%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
UPDF - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.500.75
Goals scored / match0.50.0
Goals conceded / match0.30.3
Average goals in match0.80.3
1 goal50%25%
2 goals25%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet75%75%
No goal50%100%
Goal difference+1-1
Half-time: 25% leading - 75% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 75% draw - 25% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 25% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Express
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
0
31-45
1
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

UPDF
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
0
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.20
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
59%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
23%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-17%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
20%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
30%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Express

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.20
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.64
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
50%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

UPDF

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.75
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.70
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
60%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
41%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Uganda Premier League).

Teams vs league

ExpressLigaUPDF
Average goals in match▼ 1.402.05▼ 1.00
Both teams scored▼ 20%37%▼ 25%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 0%40%▼ 25%
Clean sheets▲ 40%38%▲ 75%
Goal before half-time▲ 60%56%▼ 50%
Goal after half-time▼ 40%67%▼ 25%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.05
Average goals per match
37%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.21
Home goals / match
0.84
Away goals / match
+44%
Home attack advantage
+31%
Home defence advantage
+21%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Express 2 - 0 - 0 UPDF. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

UPDF
0 : 1
Express
Express
1 : 0
UPDF

FAQ

When do Express and UPDF play?

Express face UPDF on 15 October 2026 in Uganda Premier League at Mutesa II Wankulukuku Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Express and UPDF?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Express won 2, UPDF won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Express vs UPDF?

Express score 0.60 goals per game on average and UPDF 0.50. The Uganda Premier League average is 2.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 20% of Express's matches and 25% of UPDF's.

What form are Express and UPDF in?

Over the last 5 games Express have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and UPDF 1-2-1 (1.25 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Express vs UPDF?

The statistical background for Express vs UPDF — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.