FA Šiauliai vs TransINVEST Vilnius: match statistics
FA Šiauliai vs TransINVEST Vilnius: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
FA Šiauliai played TransINVEST Vilnius in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
FA Šiauliai: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. TransINVEST Vilnius: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
FA Šiauliai scores 0.78 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. TransINVEST Vilnius scores 1.33 and concedes 1.22. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: FA Šiauliai 44%, TransINVEST Vilnius 56%. Over 2.5: FA Šiauliai 33%, TransINVEST Vilnius 67%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
TransINVEST Vilnius has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.43. FA Šiauliai: 11.7 shots per match, TransINVEST Vilnius: 13.7.
Match halves
FA Šiauliai: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.67. TransINVEST Vilnius: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
FA Šiauliai: 76-90+ (3 goals). TransINVEST Vilnius: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win (TransINVEST Vilnius). The visitors have an edge in quality of chances — on the road they average 5.0 shots on target and 12.5 shots overall with 10% conversion, while the hosts at home average 3.25 shots on target, 10.5 shots and only 7% conversion; away xG for TransINVEST is 1.48 versus 1.37 xG for the hosts. Šiauliai score only 0.75 goals at home on average and have 75% of home matches without a goal, whereas TransINVEST scores 1.25 goals away and fails to score in only 25% of away games, which gives the visitors an offensive advantage. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 5 goals and average 2 points per game, while the visitors have scored 14 goals but conceded 7, suggesting an open, high-scoring game. Considering league position (9 vs 3), higher xG, more shots on target and better conversion for the visitors, I assess probabilities as 55% for the away win, 25% for the home win and 20% for a draw.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors a BTTS scenario (both teams to score). The away side has a seasonal BTTS of 75% and 80% in the last 5 matches, averaging 2.8 goals in the last 5, while the home side has a seasonal BTTS of 40% and only 20% in the last 5. However, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 60% of matches and concede on average 0.8 goals per game (0.4 in the last 5), which lowers the BTTS probability, but xG indicates expected goals around 1.54 for the home team (xG_for 1.69 vs xG_against_away 1.38) and 1.29 for the visitors (xG_for 1.48 vs xG_against_home 1.10). Additionally, the league averages 2.33 goals per match, and both teams have high percentages of matches over 2.5 goals (60% for the home side and 75% for the away side), therefore I tip BTTS - Yes with a 62% chance versus 38% for No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG and defensive data, expected goals are 1.54 for FA Šiauliai (attacking xG 1.69 vs opponent xG against 1.38 → average 1.54) and 1.29 for TransINVEST (attacking xG 1.48 vs xG against 1.10 → 1.29), totaling 2.83. The 2.83 total exceeds the league average of 2.33 and is supported by season Over 2.5 rates of 60% for the home side and 75% for the away side, providing a strong signal for Over 2.5 goals. Additionally, the home team averages 4.4 shots on target, the away team 5.0, and the percentage of matches in which each side scored is 40% (home) vs 75% (away), suggesting both teams can create chances; a distribution at λ≈2.83 yields roughly a 54% probability of at least 3 goals. Therefore the strongest market to play is Over 2.5 — this is the best pick based on both expected goals (2.83) and seasonal Over 2.5 statistics (60%/75%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win by full-time (X/1), because first-half scoring averages are low: the home team scores 0.6 goals by the break and the visitors 0.5, totaling about 1.1 goals and favoring a half-time draw. FA Šiauliai, however, have a quality edge in xG (1.69 vs. 1.48) and a better defensive record this season (hosts concede on average 0.8 goals at home vs. 1.75 for the visitors), which increases the probability of a turnaround after the break. Additionally, the hosts show good form over the last five matches (an average of 2.0 points per game and form “wwdlw”), while the visitors average 1.4 points per game in their last five with mixed results, supporting a final victory for the home side. Second-half statistics corroborate the hosts’ chance to score after the break: the hosts score most frequently in minutes 46–60 (2.0) and concede only 0.4 goals on average in the second half, whereas the visitors concede 1.0 in the second half; although the visitors scored 9 goals before the break in their last five matches (last5_GoalsHT_overall_away = 9), based on the figures above a half-time draw and a home win by full-time appear to be the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| FA Šiauliai | TransINVEST Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
TransINVEST Vilnius is 40% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - FA Šiauliai · 1.4 pts / match - TransINVEST Vilnius
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
TransINVEST Vilnius is 71% better for: goals scored per match.
0.78 goals / match - FA Šiauliai · 1.33 goals / match - TransINVEST Vilnius
TransINVEST Vilnius is 18% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - FA Šiauliai · 1.22 goals / match - TransINVEST Vilnius
FA Šiauliai scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while TransINVEST Vilnius keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
TransINVEST Vilnius scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while FA Šiauliai keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - FA Šiauliai
Over / Under - TransINVEST Vilnius
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
TransINVEST Vilnius is 202% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.44 pts / match - FA Šiauliai · 1.33 pts / match - TransINVEST Vilnius
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
FA Šiauliai - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
TransINVEST Vilnius - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
FA Šiauliai
TransINVEST Vilnius
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| FA Šiauliai | Liga | TransINVEST Vilnius | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.37 | ▲ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 44% | 41% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 47% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 38% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 65% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 56% | 69% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: FA Šiauliai 0 - 1 - 0 TransINVEST Vilnius. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of FA Šiauliai vs TransINVEST Vilnius?
The A Lyga match finished FA Šiauliai 0:4 TransINVEST Vilnius. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before FA Šiauliai vs TransINVEST Vilnius?
FA Šiauliai score 0.78 goals per game on average and TransINVEST Vilnius 1.33. The A Lyga average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 44% of FA Šiauliai's matches and 56% of TransINVEST Vilnius's.
What form are FA Šiauliai and TransINVEST Vilnius in?
Over the last 5 games FA Šiauliai have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and TransINVEST Vilnius 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for FA Šiauliai vs TransINVEST Vilnius?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for FA Šiauliai vs TransINVEST Vilnius: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.