Fafe vs Paços de Ferreira: match statistics
Fafe vs Paços de Ferreira: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fafe played Paços de Ferreira in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 30 October 2026. Venue: Parque Municipal dos Desportos de Fafe. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Fafe: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Paços de Ferreira: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fafe scores 1.43 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Paços de Ferreira scores 1.00 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fafe 57%, Paços de Ferreira 57%. Over 2.5: Fafe 57%, Paços de Ferreira 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Fafe has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.28. Fafe: 10.7 shots per match, Paços de Ferreira: 9.7.
Match halves
Fafe: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Paços de Ferreira: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Fafe: 46-60 (3 goals). Paços de Ferreira: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fafe sit 3rd and Paços de Ferreira 9th, but the hosts have drawn every home match so far, which strongly points to another share of the points. Fafe create better chances at home, averaging 1.61 xG compared with the visitors’ 1.17 away from home, but score just 1 goal per match there, with a shot conversion rate of 8%. Paços de Ferreira average 1.33 goals away and have failed to score in none of those matches, although they allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 1.39. The visitors have won 2 of their last 5 matches, compared with 1 win for Fafe. However, the similar number of goals conceded over that span—4 and 5 respectively—and both teams’ level goal difference across the home and away matches analysed point to a closely contested encounter.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches, both teams scored in only 40% of games, weakening the full-season signal: 50% for Fafe and 67% for Paços de Ferreira. Fafe average 0.75 goals at home, while Paços de Ferreira keep a clean sheet in 33% of their away matches, making a home side shutout a realistic scenario. On the other hand, the visitors average 1.33 goals away from home and have scored in every such match so far, so BTTS - No does not necessarily mean a goalless draw here. In addition, over their last 5 appearances, the teams conceded an average of just 1.0 and 0.8 goals respectively, which points to a slight edge for the scenario in which at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: 75% of Fafe’s matches and 67% of Paços de Ferreira’s ended below this line. In their last five appearances, the teams conceded an average of 1.0 and 0.8 goals respectively, limiting the prospects of a very high-scoring game. However, their attacking potential is not negligible: average xG stands at 1.37 for Fafe and 1.17 for the visitors, giving a projected total of 2.35 goals. The 2.5 line is less clear-cut, as it was exceeded in 25% of the home side’s matches but in 67% of the visitors’ games; at the 3.5 line, the data for both teams point to Under.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: across their last five matches, each team averaged just 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded before the break. However, this is not a strong signal in itself, as Paços de Ferreira did not draw at half-time in any of the three away matches included in the statistics. The visitors’ average of 1.0 goals in second halves away from home, compared with Fafe’s 0.25 goals in second halves at home, points to an away win after the break. The visitors did not lose the second half in any of those three matches, while the hosts lost it in two of their four home games. Therefore, X/2 has a slight edge over the other scenarios, although the small sample sizes and Fafe’s stronger home xG of 1.37, compared with the visitors’ 1.17 away from home, warrant caution.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fafe | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paços de Ferreira is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Fafe · 1.6 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fafe is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Fafe · 1 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira
Fafe is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Fafe · 1.43 goals / match - Paços de Ferreira
Fafe scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Paços de Ferreira keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Paços de Ferreira scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Fafe keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fafe
Over / Under - Paços de Ferreira
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fafe is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Fafe · 1 pts / match - Paços de Ferreira
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fafe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Paços de Ferreira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fafe
Paços de Ferreira
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Fafe | Liga | Paços de Ferreira | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.43 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 30% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Fafe vs Paços de Ferreira?
The Liga 3 match finished Fafe 3:1 Paços de Ferreira. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fafe vs Paços de Ferreira?
Fafe score 1.43 goals per game on average and Paços de Ferreira 1.00. The Liga 3 average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Fafe's matches and 57% of Paços de Ferreira's.
What form are Fafe and Paços de Ferreira in?
Over the last 5 games Fafe have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Paços de Ferreira 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fafe vs Paços de Ferreira?
The statistical background for Fafe vs Paços de Ferreira — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.