Fafe vs Paredes: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Fafe played Paredes in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 29 November 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Fafe: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Paredes: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Fafe scores 1.00 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Paredes scores 1.00 and concedes 0.80. League average: 2.01 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Fafe 40%, Paredes 40%. Over 2.5: Fafe 20%, Paredes 20%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.

xG, shots and style

Fafe has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.32. Fafe: 11.2 shots per match, Paredes: 9.6.

Match halves

Fafe: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.70. Paredes: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20.

Goals by minute

Fafe: 0-15 (3 goals). Paredes: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga 3: 2.01 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 32%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
FafeParedes
10Shots10
FafeParedes
8Shots on target3
FafeParedes
1.57xG1.15
FafeParedes
8Corners2
FafeParedes
52Dangerous attacks42
FafeParedes
18Fouls16
FafeParedes
4Cards2
FafeParedes

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1
FafeParedes
1.1Goals conceded / match0.8
FafeParedes
54%Average possession46%
FafeParedes
4.1Shots on target / match4.8
FafeParedes

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.2Shots per match9.6
FafeParedes
4.1Shots on target4.8
FafeParedes
8.9%Shot conversion10.4%
FafeParedes
54%Possession46%
FafeParedes
1.52xG for1.32
FafeParedes
0.99xG against1.05
FafeParedes

Shooting quality

Fafe: BalancedParedes: Balanced
FafeParedes
Accuracy (shots on target)37%50%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.140.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.21

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Fafe is 25% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Fafe · 1.6 pts / match - Paredes

Fafe
WWWLD
Season result split
30% W40% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-4-3
1.30 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 0.71BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Paredes
DWLDW
Season result split
20% W60% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-6-2
1.20 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
LDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.11BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Paredes is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.1 goals / match - Fafe · 0.8 goals / match - Paredes

Fafe scoring profile: strong

Fafe scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Paredes keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

Paredes scoring profile: mixed

Paredes scores in 60% of matches (6 of 10 matches), while Fafe keeps a clean sheet in 40% (4 of 10 matches).

10Goals scored (season)10
FafeParedes
11Goals conceded (season)8
FafeParedes
2.1Average goals in match1.8
FafeParedes
7Goals scored (last 5)6
FafeParedes
2Goals conceded (last 5)3
FafeParedes

How often they score at least...

70%1 goal60%
FafeParedes
20%2 goals40%
FafeParedes
10%3 goals0%
FafeParedes
0%4 goals0%
FafeParedes

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal60%
FafeParedes
20%2 goals20%
FafeParedes
10%3 goals0%
FafeParedes
10%4 goals0%
FafeParedes

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time10%
FafeParedes
0%BTTS in both halves0%
FafeParedes
10%Scored in both halves10%
FafeParedes

BTTS and goal count

10%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
FafeParedes
10%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
FafeParedes
20%BTTS - last 520%
FafeParedes

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

40%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
FafeParedes
10%Min. 2 goals before half-time30%
FafeParedes
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time10%
FafeParedes

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
FafeParedes
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time10%
FafeParedes
10%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
FafeParedes

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Paredes is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Fafe · 1.7 pts / match - Paredes

Fafe - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing
Paredes - half-time state
40% leading50% draw10% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)1.7
FafeParedes
0.3Goals scored (1st half)0.8
FafeParedes
0.3Goals conceded (1st half)0.3
FafeParedes
0.6Average goals (1st half)1.1
FafeParedes
80%Clean sheet before half-time80%
FafeParedes
70%No goal before half-time50%
FafeParedes

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)0.8
FafeParedes
0.7Goals scored (2nd half)0.2
FafeParedes
0.8Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
FafeParedes
1.5Average goals (2nd half)0.7
FafeParedes
40%Clean sheet after half-time60%
FafeParedes
50%No goal after half-time80%
FafeParedes

Fafe - second-half results

30% W30% R40% P
12
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
12
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Paredes - second-half results

10% W50% R40% P
17
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fafe - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.00
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.21.6
1 goal20%100%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Paredes - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match1.20.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.60.2
1 goal60%20%
2 goals60%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal40%100%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 80% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Fafe
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
3
3
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Paredes
ScoredConceded
3
1
0-15
3
0
16-30
2
2
31-45
1
1
46-60
1
1
61-75
0
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.95
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Fafe

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.52
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.11
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
82%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.70
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

Paredes

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.32
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.25
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
127%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
66%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.40
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.6
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).

Teams vs league

FafeLigaParedes
Average goals in match 2.102.01 1.80
Both teams scored 40%40% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 20%32% 20%
Clean sheets 40%38% 40%
Goal before half-time 40%52% 60%
Goal after half-time 90%71% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.01
Average goals per match
40%
Both teams scored
32%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.22
Home goals / match
0.79
Away goals / match
+54%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
52%
1 goal
23%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Fafe 0 - 1 - 0 Paredes. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

USC Paredes
1 : 1
AD Fafe

FAQ

What was the result of Fafe vs Paredes?

The Liga 3 match finished Fafe 2:1 Paredes. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Fafe vs Paredes?

Fafe score 1.00 goals per game on average and Paredes 1.00. The Liga 3 average is 2.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Fafe's matches and 40% of Paredes's.

What form are Fafe and Paredes in?

Over the last 5 games Fafe have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Paredes 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fafe vs Paredes?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.