Fafe vs Sporting Braga II: match statistics
Fafe presents significantly better home form with 63% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of 5 in home matches. The hosts have earned as many as 12 points (2.4 PPG) in the last 5 matches, which testifies to their excellent disposition. Sporting Braga II has very poor results away – just 13% wins, 63% losses, and a negative goal difference of -6. The visitors fail to score in 63% of away matches, which constitutes a huge problem given Fafe's solid defense (63% clean sheets at home). xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.9 xG For vs 0.9 xG Against in home matches), while Braga II generates only 0.86 xG away while conceding 1.23 xG. All indicators clearly point to an advantage for Fafe, who should utilize their home ground advantage and continue their excellent streak.
Fafe vs Sporting Braga II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fafe played Sporting Braga II in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Fafe: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Sporting Braga II: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fafe scores 1.24 and concedes 1.12 goals per match. Sporting Braga II scores 0.82 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fafe 47%, Sporting Braga II 29%. Over 2.5: Fafe 35%, Sporting Braga II 24%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
Fafe has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.04. Fafe: 11.9 shots per match, Sporting Braga II: 7.3.
Match halves
Fafe: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.82. Sporting Braga II: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Fafe: 46-60 (6 goals). Sporting Braga II: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fafe presents significantly better home form with 63% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of 5 in home matches. The hosts have earned as many as 12 points (2.4 PPG) in the last 5 matches, which testifies to their excellent disposition. Sporting Braga II has very poor results away – just 13% wins, 63% losses, and a negative goal difference of -6. The visitors fail to score in 63% of away matches, which constitutes a huge problem given Fafe's solid defense (63% clean sheets at home). xG statistics also speak in favor of the hosts (1.9 xG For vs 0.9 xG Against in home matches), while Braga II generates only 0.86 xG away while conceding 1.23 xG. All indicators clearly point to an advantage for Fafe, who should utilize their home ground advantage and continue their excellent streak.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fafe | Sporting Braga II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Sporting Braga II is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Fafe · 1.6 pts / match - Sporting Braga II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fafe is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
1.24 goals / match - Fafe · 0.82 goals / match - Sporting Braga II
Sporting Braga II is 27% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.12 goals / match - Fafe · 0.88 goals / match - Sporting Braga II
Fafe scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Sporting Braga II keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).
Sporting Braga II scores in 59% of matches (10 of 17 matches), while Fafe keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fafe
Over / Under - Sporting Braga II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fafe is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Fafe · 0.88 pts / match - Sporting Braga II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fafe - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sporting Braga II - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fafe
Sporting Braga II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| Fafe | Liga | Sporting Braga II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.35 | 2.11 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 47% | 45% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 35% | 34% | ▼ 24% |
| Clean sheets | • 35% | 34% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 62% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fafe 0 - 0 - 1 Sporting Braga II. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fafe vs Sporting Braga II?
The Liga 3 match finished Fafe 2:2 Sporting Braga II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fafe vs Sporting Braga II?
Fafe score 1.24 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga II 0.82. The Liga 3 average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Fafe's matches and 29% of Sporting Braga II's.
What form are Fafe and Sporting Braga II in?
Over the last 5 games Fafe have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Sporting Braga II 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fafe vs Sporting Braga II?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fafe vs Sporting Braga II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


