Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock: match statistics
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Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fagiano Okayama play Mito Hollyhock in J1 League (Japan). The match date is 21 October 2026.
Current form
Fagiano Okayama: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Mito Hollyhock: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fagiano Okayama scores 1.33 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Mito Hollyhock scores 1.33 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fagiano Okayama 78%, Mito Hollyhock 78%. Over 2.5: Fagiano Okayama 78%, Mito Hollyhock 44%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Fagiano Okayama has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.19. Fagiano Okayama: 14.2 shots per match, Mito Hollyhock: 11.3.
Match halves
Fagiano Okayama: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56. Mito Hollyhock: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Fagiano Okayama: 31-45+ (3 goals). Mito Hollyhock: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
J1 League: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fagiano Okayama | Mito Hollyhock | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 22% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fagiano Okayama is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Fagiano Okayama · 0.8 pts / match - Mito Hollyhock
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fagiano Okayama is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Fagiano Okayama · 1.44 goals / match - Mito Hollyhock
Fagiano Okayama scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Mito Hollyhock keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).
Mito Hollyhock scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Fagiano Okayama keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fagiano Okayama
Over / Under - Mito Hollyhock
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mito Hollyhock is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Fagiano Okayama · 1.44 pts / match - Mito Hollyhock
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fagiano Okayama - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mito Hollyhock - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fagiano Okayama
Mito Hollyhock
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (J1 League).
Teams vs league
| Fagiano Okayama | Liga | Mito Hollyhock | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.67 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.78 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 59% | ▲ 78% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 78% | 53% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | • 22% | 23% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 68% | • 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 88% | • 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Fagiano Okayama and Mito Hollyhock play?
Fagiano Okayama face Mito Hollyhock on 21 October 2026 in J1 League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
Fagiano Okayama score 1.33 goals per game on average and Mito Hollyhock 1.33. The J1 League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Fagiano Okayama's matches and 78% of Mito Hollyhock's.
What form are Fagiano Okayama and Mito Hollyhock in?
Over the last 5 games Fagiano Okayama have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Mito Hollyhock 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.