Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad: match statistics
Statistical analysis points to a balanced rivalry between the two teams. Fajr Sepasi has poor home form with 50% losses and only 38% wins, recording a negative goal difference (-3) on their own pitch. Kheybar Khorramabad adopts a defensive stance on the road, conceding an average of only 0.88 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 38% of games. Both teams have an identical points record in the last five matches (1.2 PPG), and their recent forms suggest a tendency towards draws, especially for the visitors (3 draws in the last 5 games). Given the hosts' low efficiency in home matches (1 goal on average) and the visitors' defensive solidity, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the hosts hold a slight advantage playing at their own stadium.
Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fajr Sepasi played Kheybar Khorramabad in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 28 January 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Fajr Sepasi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Kheybar Khorramabad: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fajr Sepasi scores 1.06 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Kheybar Khorramabad scores 0.94 and concedes 0.94. League average: 1.70 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fajr Sepasi 53%, Kheybar Khorramabad 53%. Over 2.5: Fajr Sepasi 41%, Kheybar Khorramabad 35%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Kheybar Khorramabad has higher xG: 1.08 vs 0.76. Fajr Sepasi: 0.9 shots per match, Kheybar Khorramabad: 1.2.
Match halves
Fajr Sepasi: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.59. Kheybar Khorramabad: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Fajr Sepasi: 31-45+ (5 goals). Kheybar Khorramabad: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.70 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis points to a balanced rivalry between the two teams. Fajr Sepasi has poor home form with 50% losses and only 38% wins, recording a negative goal difference (-3) on their own pitch. Kheybar Khorramabad adopts a defensive stance on the road, conceding an average of only 0.88 goals per match and keeping a clean sheet in 38% of games. Both teams have an identical points record in the last five matches (1.2 PPG), and their recent forms suggest a tendency towards draws, especially for the visitors (3 draws in the last 5 games). Given the hosts' low efficiency in home matches (1 goal on average) and the visitors' defensive solidity, the most likely scenario is a draw, although the hosts hold a slight advantage playing at their own stadium.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fajr Sepasi | Kheybar Khorramabad | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -19% | -10% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.81 | 0.92 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fajr Sepasi is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
1.06 goals / match - Fajr Sepasi · 0.94 goals / match - Kheybar Khorramabad
Kheybar Khorramabad is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.18 goals / match - Fajr Sepasi · 0.94 goals / match - Kheybar Khorramabad
Fajr Sepasi scores in 76% of matches (13 of 17 matches), while Kheybar Khorramabad keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
Kheybar Khorramabad scores in 65% of matches (11 of 17 matches), while Fajr Sepasi keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fajr Sepasi
Over / Under - Kheybar Khorramabad
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fajr Sepasi is 15% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.29 pts / match - Fajr Sepasi · 1.12 pts / match - Kheybar Khorramabad
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fajr Sepasi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kheybar Khorramabad - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fajr Sepasi
Kheybar Khorramabad
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Fajr Sepasi | Liga | Kheybar Khorramabad | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.24 | 1.70 | ▲ 1.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 53% | 36% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 26% | ▲ 35% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 44% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 47% | 50% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 94% | 59% | ▲ 65% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Other recorded players
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fajr Sepasi 0 - 1 - 0 Kheybar Khorramabad. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Fajr Sepasi 2:1 Kheybar Khorramabad. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
Fajr Sepasi score 1.06 goals per game on average and Kheybar Khorramabad 0.94. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.70 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Fajr Sepasi's matches and 53% of Kheybar Khorramabad's.
What form are Fajr Sepasi and Kheybar Khorramabad in?
Over the last 5 games Fajr Sepasi have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Kheybar Khorramabad 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fajr Sepasi vs Kheybar Khorramabad?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.