Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin: match statistics
Fajr Sepasi displays solid home form with a 50% win rate at their venue and an average of 1.2 goals per match, making them the favorite in this encounter. Shams Azar Qazvin is characterized by a very defensive playing style away from home, where as many as 60% of matches end in draws, and the team scores on average only 0.5 goals per game. The visitors boast an impressive 70% clean sheet rate on the road, suggesting the hosts' difficulties in breaking down the opponent's defense. The form from the last five matches favors the away side (1.6 points per game vs 1.2 for the hosts); however, the home advantage and greater offensive efficiency of Fajr Sepasi should tip the scales of victory in their favor. Considering the defensive style of Shams Azar and their tendency to draw (60% away), there is a significant probability of a points split, but the hosts have a better chance of securing all three points.
Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fajr Sepasi played Shams Azar Qazvin in Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Fajr Sepasi: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Shams Azar Qazvin: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fajr Sepasi scores 1.10 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Shams Azar Qazvin scores 0.71 and concedes 0.76. League average: 1.75 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fajr Sepasi 57%, Shams Azar Qazvin 33%. Over 2.5: Fajr Sepasi 48%, Shams Azar Qazvin 14%. League level: BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Shams Azar Qazvin has higher xG: 0.94 vs 0.76. Fajr Sepasi: 0.6 shots per match, Shams Azar Qazvin: 3.2.
Match halves
Fajr Sepasi: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.67. Shams Azar Qazvin: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.57.
Goals by minute
Fajr Sepasi: 31-45+ (6 goals). Shams Azar Qazvin: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Persian Gulf Pro League: 1.75 goals per match, BTTS 37%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Fajr Sepasi displays solid home form with a 50% win rate at their venue and an average of 1.2 goals per match, making them the favorite in this encounter. Shams Azar Qazvin is characterized by a very defensive playing style away from home, where as many as 60% of matches end in draws, and the team scores on average only 0.5 goals per game. The visitors boast an impressive 70% clean sheet rate on the road, suggesting the hosts' difficulties in breaking down the opponent's defense. The form from the last five matches favors the away side (1.6 points per game vs 1.2 for the hosts); however, the home advantage and greater offensive efficiency of Fajr Sepasi should tip the scales of victory in their favor. Considering the defensive style of Shams Azar and their tendency to draw (60% away), there is a significant probability of a points split, but the hosts have a better chance of securing all three points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fajr Sepasi | Shams Azar Qazvin | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | -58% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 1.33 | 0.29 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.00 | 0.71 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shams Azar Qazvin is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Fajr Sepasi · 1.6 pts / match - Shams Azar Qazvin
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Fajr Sepasi is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Fajr Sepasi · 0.71 goals / match - Shams Azar Qazvin
Shams Azar Qazvin is 57% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Fajr Sepasi · 0.76 goals / match - Shams Azar Qazvin
Fajr Sepasi scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Shams Azar Qazvin keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).
Shams Azar Qazvin scores in 48% of matches (10 of 21 matches), while Fajr Sepasi keeps a clean sheet in 24% (5 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fajr Sepasi
Over / Under - Shams Azar Qazvin
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Fajr Sepasi is 47% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.19 pts / match - Fajr Sepasi · 0.81 pts / match - Shams Azar Qazvin
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fajr Sepasi - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Shams Azar Qazvin - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fajr Sepasi
Shams Azar Qazvin
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Persian Gulf Pro League).
Teams vs league
| Fajr Sepasi | Liga | Shams Azar Qazvin | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.29 | 1.75 | ▼ 1.48 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 37% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 48% | 27% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 42% | ▲ 52% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 48% | 53% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 95% | 61% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fajr Sepasi 1 - 0 - 0 Shams Azar Qazvin. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
The Persian Gulf Pro League match finished Fajr Sepasi 1:0 Shams Azar Qazvin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Fajr Sepasi score 1.10 goals per game on average and Shams Azar Qazvin 0.71. The Persian Gulf Pro League average is 1.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Fajr Sepasi's matches and 33% of Shams Azar Qazvin's.
What form are Fajr Sepasi and Shams Azar Qazvin in?
Over the last 5 games Fajr Sepasi have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Shams Azar Qazvin 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Fajr Sepasi vs Shams Azar Qazvin: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.