Falkirk vs Celtic: match statistics
Celtic displays significantly superior form and statistics compared to Falkirk. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with 13 wins this season, while the hosts languish in 6th with just 8 victories. Celtic is distinguished by their dominance in possession (averaging 68% away vs 50% for Falkirk at home) and a higher average xG (1.48 vs 1.42), indicating superior quality in chance creation. Falkirk draws 50% of their home matches, suggesting difficulties in closing out games, with a home win rate of just 30%. Celtic wins 50% of their away fixtures and, despite a recent defeat, has secured 9 points from their last 5 matches overall, demonstrating solid form. Based on all statistical metrics, Celtic is the clear favorite for this encounter.
Falkirk vs Celtic: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Falkirk played Celtic in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 14 January 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Falkirk: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Celtic: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Falkirk scores 1.10 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Celtic scores 1.81 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Falkirk 43%, Celtic 43%. Over 2.5: Falkirk 52%, Celtic 62%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Celtic has higher xG: 1.98 vs 1.36. Falkirk: 11.9 shots per match, Celtic: 17.3.
Match halves
Falkirk: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.76. Celtic: half-time lead 48%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
Falkirk: 61-75 (7 goals). Celtic: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celtic displays significantly superior form and statistics compared to Falkirk. The visitors sit 3rd in the table with 13 wins this season, while the hosts languish in 6th with just 8 victories. Celtic is distinguished by their dominance in possession (averaging 68% away vs 50% for Falkirk at home) and a higher average xG (1.48 vs 1.42), indicating superior quality in chance creation. Falkirk draws 50% of their home matches, suggesting difficulties in closing out games, with a home win rate of just 30%. Celtic wins 50% of their away fixtures and, despite a recent defeat, has secured 9 points from their last 5 matches overall, demonstrating solid form. Based on all statistical metrics, Celtic is the clear favorite for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Falkirk | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Celtic is 65% better for: goals scored per match.
1.1 goals / match - Falkirk · 1.81 goals / match - Celtic
Celtic is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Falkirk · 1 goals / match - Celtic
Falkirk scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
Celtic scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Falkirk
Over / Under - Celtic
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celtic is 138% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Falkirk · 1.81 pts / match - Celtic
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Falkirk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Celtic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 48% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Falkirk
Celtic
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Falkirk | Liga | Celtic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 49% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 29% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 67% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 78% | ▼ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Falkirk 0 - 0 - 1 Celtic. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Falkirk vs Celtic?
The Premiership match finished Falkirk 0:1 Celtic. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Falkirk vs Celtic?
Falkirk score 1.10 goals per game on average and Celtic 1.81. The Premiership average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Falkirk's matches and 43% of Celtic's.
What form are Falkirk and Celtic in?
Over the last 5 games Falkirk have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Celtic 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Falkirk vs Celtic?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.