Falkirk vs Hibernian: match statistics
Hibernian presents clearly better form than Falkirk, confirmed by the points per match record in the last five games (2.0 vs 1.4) and the visitors' three-game winning streak. The visitors have a positive goal difference away (+3) and higher shooting efficiency (12% vs 10%), while the hosts have a balanced goal difference at home (0). Falkirk does not win often in home matches (27% wins, 45% draws), suggesting difficulties breaking down rival defenses. Hibernian has scored 37 goals this season compared to just 23 for Falkirk, indicating greater offensive potential. Expected goals (xG) are comparable, but the advantage in form and efficiency speaks for an away win, although a tight match with the possibility of a draw is expected.
Falkirk vs Hibernian: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Falkirk played Hibernian in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 24 January 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Falkirk: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Hibernian: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Falkirk scores 1.05 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Hibernian scores 1.68 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Falkirk 41%, Hibernian 55%. Over 2.5: Falkirk 50%, Hibernian 55%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Hibernian has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.36. Falkirk: 11.9 shots per match, Hibernian: 13.4.
Match halves
Falkirk: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.73. Hibernian: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Falkirk: 61-75 (7 goals). Hibernian: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Hibernian presents clearly better form than Falkirk, confirmed by the points per match record in the last five games (2.0 vs 1.4) and the visitors' three-game winning streak. The visitors have a positive goal difference away (+3) and higher shooting efficiency (12% vs 10%), while the hosts have a balanced goal difference at home (0). Falkirk does not win often in home matches (27% wins, 45% draws), suggesting difficulties breaking down rival defenses. Hibernian has scored 37 goals this season compared to just 23 for Falkirk, indicating greater offensive potential. Expected goals (xG) are comparable, but the advantage in form and efficiency speaks for an away win, although a tight match with the possibility of a draw is expected.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Falkirk | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Hibernian is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Falkirk · 2.2 pts / match - Hibernian
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Hibernian is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.05 goals / match - Falkirk · 1.68 goals / match - Hibernian
Hibernian is 17% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Falkirk · 1.09 goals / match - Hibernian
Falkirk scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Hibernian keeps a clean sheet in 27% (6 of 22 matches).
Hibernian scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Falkirk keeps a clean sheet in 32% (7 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Falkirk
Over / Under - Hibernian
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Hibernian is 130% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.73 pts / match - Falkirk · 1.68 pts / match - Hibernian
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Falkirk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Hibernian - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 41%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Falkirk
Hibernian
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Falkirk | Liga | Hibernian | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.32 | 2.52 | ▲ 2.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 48% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 47% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 30% | ▼ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 68% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 82% | 78% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Falkirk 0 - 1 - 1 Hibernian. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Falkirk vs Hibernian?
The Premiership match finished Falkirk 4:1 Hibernian. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Falkirk and Hibernian?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Falkirk won 0, Hibernian won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Falkirk vs Hibernian?
Falkirk score 1.05 goals per game on average and Hibernian 1.68. The Premiership average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Falkirk's matches and 55% of Hibernian's.
What form are Falkirk and Hibernian in?
Over the last 5 games Falkirk have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Hibernian 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Falkirk vs Hibernian?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.