Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: match statistics
Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Falubaz Zielona Góra played Goczałkowice Zdrój in 3 Liga Group 3 (Poland). The match was played on 1 April 2026. Final score: 5:0.
Current form
Falubaz Zielona Góra: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Goczałkowice Zdrój: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Falubaz Zielona Góra scores 2.35 and concedes 0.57 goals per match. Goczałkowice Zdrój scores 1.65 and concedes 1.04. League average: 3.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Falubaz Zielona Góra 48%, Goczałkowice Zdrój 52%. Over 2.5: Falubaz Zielona Góra 61%, Goczałkowice Zdrój 57%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Falubaz Zielona Góra has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.52. Falubaz Zielona Góra: 8.8 shots per match, Goczałkowice Zdrój: 6.9.
Match halves
Falubaz Zielona Góra: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.52. Goczałkowice Zdrój: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Falubaz Zielona Góra: 0-15 (33 goals). Goczałkowice Zdrój: 0-15 (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 3: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Falubaz Zielona Góra is the favorite due to an outstanding home defense — they concede just 0.3 goals per game on average and keep a clean sheet in 70% of matches, whereas Goczałkowice Zdrój concede 1.4 goals per away game on average and have 30% clean sheets. Offensively, the hosts score 2.2 goals per home game on average with an xG of 1.81 and a conversion rate of 17%, while the visitors score 1.5 goals away with xG 1.48 and a 11% conversion. Falubaz also generate more shots and shots on target (12.86 shots per match and 6.43 on target vs 11.0 and 3.6 for the visitors) and have a lower share of goalless matches (20% vs 30%), which increases their probability of converting chances. The only argument for Goczałkowice is recent form in the last five matches — 4 wins and 2.4 points per game versus Falubaz’s 2 wins and 1.6 points — so the visitors can spring a surprise. Summing up the defensive edge, better conversion and superiority in chance creation at the hosts’ ground, I tip a Falubaz victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams have season BTTS rates of 54% (Falubaz) and 50% (Goczałkowice), while the league BTTS level is 60%, indicating an overall trend favoring both teams scoring. xG analysis: Falubaz average xG is 1.54 versus xG against Goczałkowice 1.13 – the average of these values is approximately 1.33 expected goals for Falubaz; meanwhile Goczałkowice average xG 1.48 and xG against Falubaz 1.46 yield about 1.47 expected goals for the away side. Shot volume and conversion confirm this: Falubaz averages 9.73 shots with 13% conversion (~1.26 goals), Goczałkowice 11.0 shots with 11% (~1.21 goals), and season goal averages are 1.77 and 1.5, so both sides regularly generate goals. Counter signals appear in short-term form – last 5 matches show BTTS 40% for Falubaz and 20% for Goczałkowice and the visitors conceded on average 0.4 goals in that period – however this is a weaker signal compared to longer-term season stats and xG. Therefore I forecast 64% for BTTS = Yes and 36% for BTTS = No, selecting 'Yes' as the strongest signal based on xG, season goal averages and the high league BTTS rate.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams have a high percentage of matches over 1.5 goals: Falubaz 69% of the season, Goczałkowice 80%, and the league averages 3.23 goals per match. Based on xG the estimate is 1.34 xG for the home side (attacking xG 1.54 vs opponent xG against 1.13) and 1.47 xG for the visitors (attacking xG 1.48 vs home xG against 1.46), totaling 2.81 expected goals. With combined xG=2.81 the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is about 77%, at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) about 53%, and 4+ goals (Over 3.5) about 31%. Additionally, the home team has scored 54 and conceded 13 goals this season, the visitors 38 and 24, and average shots on target are 4.36 (home) vs 3.60 (away), which confirms both teams’ ability to create chances and increases the likelihood of goal exchanges. As a result the strongest and most valuable signal from the data is Over 1.5 (recommendation: over at the 1.5 line), while Over 2.5 offers only a moderate edge (~53%), and Over 3.5 remains risky (~31%).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a home win at full-time (X/1) — the home team were level at the break in 60% of matches and average 0.6 goals by half-time versus 0.5 for the visitors. After the break the statistics strongly favour Falubaz: the home side score an average of 1.6 goals in the second half while conceding only 0.2, whereas the visitors record 0.75 scored and 0.75 conceded after half-time, giving the hosts an approximate 0.85-goal advantage in the second half (1.6–0.75). Additionally, the home team have a higher season goals return of 1.77 versus 1.5 for the visitors and higher xG (1.54 for the hosts versus the visitors’ defence allowing on average 1.13 xG), which supports their ability to create chances. Considering that few goals are scored before the break (a combined average of 1.1) and the hosts’ dominance after half-time, I assign the highest probability to X/1 (27%), followed by X/X (21%) and 1/1 (14%).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Falubaz Zielona Góra | Goczałkowice Zdrój | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.65 | 0.64 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goczałkowice Zdrój is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Falubaz Zielona Góra · 2.4 pts / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Falubaz Zielona Góra is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
2.35 goals / match - Falubaz Zielona Góra · 1.65 goals / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój
Falubaz Zielona Góra is 82% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.57 goals / match - Falubaz Zielona Góra · 1.04 goals / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój
Falubaz Zielona Góra scores in 83% of matches (19 of 23 matches), while Goczałkowice Zdrój keeps a clean sheet in 35% (8 of 23 matches).
Goczałkowice Zdrój scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Falubaz Zielona Góra keeps a clean sheet in 52% (12 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Falubaz Zielona Góra
Over / Under - Goczałkowice Zdrój
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Falubaz Zielona Góra is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Falubaz Zielona Góra · 1.04 pts / match - Goczałkowice Zdrój
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Falubaz Zielona Góra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Goczałkowice Zdrój - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (33 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (23 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Falubaz Zielona Góra
Goczałkowice Zdrój
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 3).
Teams vs league
| Falubaz Zielona Góra | Liga | Goczałkowice Zdrój | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.91 | 3.27 | ▼ 2.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 61% | ▼ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 61% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 52% | 21% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 39% | 32% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 39% | 33% | ▼ 26% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Falubaz Zielona Góra 1 - 0 - 0 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
The 3 Liga Group 3 match finished Falubaz Zielona Góra 5:0 Goczałkowice Zdrój. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Falubaz Zielona Góra score 2.35 goals per game on average and Goczałkowice Zdrój 1.65. The 3 Liga Group 3 average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Falubaz Zielona Góra's matches and 52% of Goczałkowice Zdrój's.
What form are Falubaz Zielona Góra and Goczałkowice Zdrój in?
Over the last 5 games Falubaz Zielona Góra have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Goczałkowice Zdrój 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Falubaz Zielona Góra vs Goczałkowice Zdrój: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.