Famalicão vs Casa Pia: match statistics
Famalicão presents decidedly better home form with 45% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of +10 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per match in home fixtures with only 27% of games without scoring, testifying to an effective offense. Casa Pia faces serious problems in away matches, losing as many as 55% of games on the road and conceding an average of 1.82 goals with a poor balance of -10. The difference in quality is also confirmed by xG statistics, where Famalicão holds the advantage (1.53 vs 1.02), as well as in possession (52% vs 42%). The recent form of both teams (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG) also speaks in favor of the hosts, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches. Taking all indicators into account, Famalicão has a clear advantage, although Casa Pia has shown signs of improvement recently, justifying a moderate probability of a draw.
Famalicão vs Casa Pia: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Famalicão played Casa Pia in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 23 February 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Famalicão: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Casa Pia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Famalicão scores 1.23 and concedes 0.95 goals per match. Casa Pia scores 1.14 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Famalicão 32%, Casa Pia 50%. Over 2.5: Famalicão 41%, Casa Pia 55%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Famalicão has higher xG: 1.38 vs 0.97. Famalicão: 12.1 shots per match, Casa Pia: 8.6.
Match halves
Famalicão: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.68. Casa Pia: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.59.
Goals by minute
Famalicão: 61-75 (6 goals). Casa Pia: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Famalicão presents decidedly better home form with 45% of matches won at home and an impressive goal difference of +10 at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.73 goals per match in home fixtures with only 27% of games without scoring, testifying to an effective offense. Casa Pia faces serious problems in away matches, losing as many as 55% of games on the road and conceding an average of 1.82 goals with a poor balance of -10. The difference in quality is also confirmed by xG statistics, where Famalicão holds the advantage (1.53 vs 1.02), as well as in possession (52% vs 42%). The recent form of both teams (1.8 PPG vs 1.6 PPG) also speaks in favor of the hosts, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches. Taking all indicators into account, Famalicão has a clear advantage, although Casa Pia has shown signs of improvement recently, justifying a moderate probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Famalicão | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Famalicão is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Famalicão · 1.6 pts / match - Casa Pia
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Famalicão is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Famalicão · 1.14 goals / match - Casa Pia
Famalicão is 96% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.95 goals / match - Famalicão · 1.86 goals / match - Casa Pia
Famalicão scores in 68% of matches (15 of 22 matches), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Casa Pia scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Famalicão keeps a clean sheet in 45% (10 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Famalicão
Over / Under - Casa Pia
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Famalicão is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.41 pts / match - Famalicão · 1.14 pts / match - Casa Pia
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Famalicão - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 23%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Famalicão
Casa Pia
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Famalicão | Liga | Casa Pia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.18 | 2.77 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 46% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 56% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 45% | 30% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 71% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▼ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Famalicão 0 - 1 - 0 Casa Pia. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Famalicão vs Casa Pia?
The Liga NOS match finished Famalicão 2:0 Casa Pia. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Famalicão vs Casa Pia?
Famalicão score 1.23 goals per game on average and Casa Pia 1.14. The Liga NOS average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Famalicão's matches and 50% of Casa Pia's.
What form are Famalicão and Casa Pia in?
Over the last 5 games Famalicão have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Casa Pia 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Famalicão vs Casa Pia?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.