Famalicão vs CD Nacional: match statistics
Famalicão are in significantly better form, having collected 10 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while CD Nacional have failed to win any of their last 5 games, conceding as many as 8 goals. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 54% win rate and 62% clean sheets, scoring an average of 1.69 goals while conceding just 0.69 per match. CD Nacional win only 15% of their away matches, conceding an average of 1.31 goals and having a negative goal difference (-5). Furthermore, Famalicão have better xG stats (1.6 vs 1.39), a higher shot accuracy (12% vs 7%), and dominate in possession (53% vs 43%). All indicators clearly point to the hosts' advantage, who should capitalize on the visitors' poor form and secure a comfortable victory in front of their home crowd.
Famalicão vs CD Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Famalicão played CD Nacional in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Famalicão: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. CD Nacional: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Famalicão scores 1.23 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. CD Nacional scores 1.12 and concedes 1.46. League average: 2.72 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Famalicão 31%, CD Nacional 58%. Over 2.5: Famalicão 38%, CD Nacional 50%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Famalicão has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.36. Famalicão: 12.5 shots per match, CD Nacional: 12.6.
Match halves
Famalicão: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.69. CD Nacional: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Famalicão: 16-30 (6 goals). CD Nacional: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.72 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Famalicão are in significantly better form, having collected 10 points in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss), while CD Nacional have failed to win any of their last 5 games, conceding as many as 8 goals. The hosts boast an impressive home record with a 54% win rate and 62% clean sheets, scoring an average of 1.69 goals while conceding just 0.69 per match. CD Nacional win only 15% of their away matches, conceding an average of 1.31 goals and having a negative goal difference (-5). Furthermore, Famalicão have better xG stats (1.6 vs 1.39), a higher shot accuracy (12% vs 7%), and dominate in possession (53% vs 43%). All indicators clearly point to the hosts' advantage, who should capitalize on the visitors' poor form and secure a comfortable victory in front of their home crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Famalicão | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Famalicão is 900% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Famalicão · 0.2 pts / match - CD Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Famalicão is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
1.23 goals / match - Famalicão · 1.12 goals / match - CD Nacional
Famalicão is 72% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Famalicão · 1.46 goals / match - CD Nacional
Famalicão scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).
CD Nacional scores in 69% of matches (18 of 26 matches), while Famalicão keeps a clean sheet in 50% (13 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Famalicão
Over / Under - CD Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Famalicão is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Famalicão · 1.15 pts / match - CD Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Famalicão - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Famalicão
CD Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Famalicão | Liga | CD Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.72 | ▼ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 31% | 47% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 30% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 77% | 79% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Famalicão 1 - 0 - 0 CD Nacional. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Famalicão vs CD Nacional?
The Liga NOS match finished Famalicão 1:0 CD Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Famalicão vs CD Nacional?
Famalicão score 1.23 goals per game on average and CD Nacional 1.12. The Liga NOS average is 2.72 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 31% of Famalicão's matches and 58% of CD Nacional's.
What form are Famalicão and CD Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Famalicão have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and CD Nacional 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Famalicão vs CD Nacional?
The statistical background for Famalicão vs CD Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.