Fard Alborz vs Mes Shahr-e Babak: match statistics
The analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter with a preference for the draw scenario. Fard Alborz displays an impressive defence at home - 70% clean sheets and just 0.3 goals conceded on average per match, but they have major problems in attack (60% of matches without a scored goal, 0.6 goals on average). Mes Shahr-e Babak, despite being second in the table, often plays to draws away (56% draws), scoring an average of 0.78 goals and conceding 0.44. The recent form of both teams confirms the tendency to share points - Fard has a streak of five consecutive draws, and Mes has recorded four draws in their last five away matches. Considering the solid defence of the home side, the moderate effectiveness of the visitors away, and the identical goal difference (+3) of both teams in their respective matches, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this fixture.
Fard Alborz vs Mes Shahr-e Babak: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Fard Alborz played Mes Shahr-e Babak in Azadegan League (Iran). The match was played on 2 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Fard Alborz: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match. Mes Shahr-e Babak: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Fard Alborz scores 0.42 and concedes 0.32 goals per match. Mes Shahr-e Babak scores 1.05 and concedes 0.53. League average: 1.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Fard Alborz 16%, Mes Shahr-e Babak 37%. Over 2.5: Fard Alborz 5%, Mes Shahr-e Babak 21%. League level: BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 21%.
xG, shots and style
Mes Shahr-e Babak has higher xG: 1.14 vs 0.84. Fard Alborz: 3.9 shots per match, Mes Shahr-e Babak: 5.5.
Match halves
Fard Alborz: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.21. Mes Shahr-e Babak: half-time lead 53%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Fard Alborz: 16-30 (2 goals). Mes Shahr-e Babak: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Azadegan League: 1.52 goals per match, BTTS 33%, Over 2.5 21%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The analysis indicates a very evenly matched encounter with a preference for the draw scenario. Fard Alborz displays an impressive defence at home - 70% clean sheets and just 0.3 goals conceded on average per match, but they have major problems in attack (60% of matches without a scored goal, 0.6 goals on average). Mes Shahr-e Babak, despite being second in the table, often plays to draws away (56% draws), scoring an average of 0.78 goals and conceding 0.44. The recent form of both teams confirms the tendency to share points - Fard has a streak of five consecutive draws, and Mes has recorded four draws in their last five away matches. Considering the solid defence of the home side, the moderate effectiveness of the visitors away, and the identical goal difference (+3) of both teams in their respective matches, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this fixture.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Fard Alborz | Mes Shahr-e Babak | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 48% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mes Shahr-e Babak is 120% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Fard Alborz · 2.2 pts / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mes Shahr-e Babak is 150% better for: goals scored per match.
0.42 goals / match - Fard Alborz · 1.05 goals / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak
Fard Alborz is 66% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.32 goals / match - Fard Alborz · 0.53 goals / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak
Fard Alborz scores in 32% of matches (6 of 19 matches), while Mes Shahr-e Babak keeps a clean sheet in 53% (10 of 19 matches).
Mes Shahr-e Babak scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Fard Alborz keeps a clean sheet in 68% (13 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Fard Alborz
Over / Under - Mes Shahr-e Babak
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mes Shahr-e Babak is 65% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Fard Alborz · 2 pts / match - Mes Shahr-e Babak
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Fard Alborz - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mes Shahr-e Babak - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 53% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 0% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +6 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Fard Alborz
Mes Shahr-e Babak
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Azadegan League).
Teams vs league
| Fard Alborz | Liga | Mes Shahr-e Babak | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 0.74 | 1.52 | • 1.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 16% | 33% | ▲ 37% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 5% | 21% | • 21% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 68% | 44% | ▲ 53% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 32% | 46% | ▲ 58% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 32% | 57% | ▲ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Fard Alborz 1 - 0 - 0 Mes Shahr-e Babak. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Fard Alborz vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
The Azadegan League match finished Fard Alborz 1:1 Mes Shahr-e Babak. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Fard Alborz vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
Fard Alborz score 0.42 goals per game on average and Mes Shahr-e Babak 1.05. The Azadegan League average is 1.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 21% of games. Both teams score in 16% of Fard Alborz's matches and 37% of Mes Shahr-e Babak's.
What form are Fard Alborz and Mes Shahr-e Babak in?
Over the last 5 games Fard Alborz have a 0-5-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Mes Shahr-e Babak 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Fard Alborz vs Mes Shahr-e Babak?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.